Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultMarquense to win ✗42% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.00
Marquense vs Guastatoya: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Marquense welcome Guastatoya to Estadio Marquesa de la Ensenada for a Liga Nacional fixture on Thursday 5 March (01:00 WAT). In the table, Marquense are 8th, lower half, on 30 points after 22 matches; Guastatoya are 7th (lower half) with 31. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Marquense, last 5: LDLWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Municipal, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.6 conceded per game.
Guastatoya, last 4: LWLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Antigua GFC, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Marquense 1.3 xG, Guastatoya 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Marquense 42%, draw 28%, Guastatoya 30%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.90.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Marquense 1–1 Guastatoya. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Marquense42%fair 2.38 · @2.10
Draw28%fair 3.57 · @3.10
Guastatoya30%fair 3.35 · @3.35
2.27Expected goals
1.27Marquense xG
1.00Guastatoya xG
55%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–110%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Marquense 1.3 – 1.0 Guastatoya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Marquense
Guastatoya
Attack vs Liga Nacional average
-23%
+2%
Goals conceded vs average
-5%
-9%
Our expected goals here
1.17
0.89
Our own ratings from every Liga Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Marquense to win✗
42%
2.38
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
72%
1.39
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.90
Draw no bet
Marquense (draw no bet)
58%
1.71
–
Asian handicap
Guastatoya +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
79%
1.26
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Marquense to score first
50%
1.99
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Marquense / FT Marquense✗
25%
4.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.00
–
Recent results
Marquense – last 5
LDLWL
1 Mar
@ Municipal
0–1
L
26 Feb
vs Aurora
0–0
D
22 Feb
@ Mictlán
1–2
L
20 Feb
vs Mixco
2–1
W
16 Feb
@ Xelajú
2–4
L
1.0Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Guastatoya – last 4
LWLD
25 Feb
@ Antigua GFC
0–2
L
22 Feb
vs Cobán Imperial
2–0
W
17 Feb
@ Achuapa
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Malacateco
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
25%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Marquense and Guastatoya.
What is the prediction for Marquense vs Guastatoya?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Marquense vs Guastatoya?
On our numbers Marquense have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Guastatoya 30%.
How many goals will there be in Marquense vs Guastatoya?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Marquense vs Guastatoya?
Our predicted score is Marquense 1–1 Guastatoya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Marquense vs Guastatoya?
Marquense vs Guastatoya (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Thursday 5 March 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Marquesa de la Ensenada.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
