Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultMarquense to win ✓53% · @1.95
Double chanceMarquense or draw ✓81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.49
Marquense vs Malacateco: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Marquense welcome Malacateco to Estadio Marquesa de la Ensenada for a Liga Nacional fixture on Sunday 8 March (03:00 WAT). In the table, Marquense are 8th, lower half, on 30 points after 22 matches; Malacateco are 10th (in the drop zone) with 22.
Current form
Marquense, last 5: DLDLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Guastatoya, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Malacateco, last 5: LDLDW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Comunicaciones, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Marquense 1.4 xG, Malacateco 0.8 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Marquense 53%, draw 29%, Malacateco 19%.
Lower-risk option: Marquense or draw (81%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (64%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Marquense 1–1 Malacateco. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Marquense53%fair 1.90 · @1.95
Draw29%fair 3.49 · @3.00
Malacateco19%fair 5.33 · @3.80
2.19Expected goals
1.44Marquense xG
0.75Malacateco xG
52%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
1–112%
2–012%
0–011%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Marquense 1.4 – 0.8 Malacateco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Marquense
Malacateco
Attack vs Liga Nacional average
-23%
-25%
Goals conceded vs average
-5%
-2%
Our expected goals here
1.26
0.66
Our own ratings from every Liga Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Marquense to win✓
53%
1.90
1.95
Double chance
Marquense or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.94
2.00
Draw no bet
Marquense (draw no bet)✓
74%
1.36
–
Asian handicap
Malacateco +1 (Asian handicap)
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
64%
1.55
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Marquense to score first✓
58%
1.71
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Marquense / FT Marquense✗
32%
3.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.49
–
Recent results
Marquense – last 6
DLDLWL
5 Mar
vs Guastatoya
2–2
D
1 Mar
@ Municipal
0–1
L
26 Feb
vs Aurora
0–0
D
22 Feb
@ Mictlán
1–2
L
20 Feb
vs Mixco
2–1
W
16 Feb
@ Xelajú
2–4
L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Malacateco – last 6
LDLDWD
4 Mar
@ Comunicaciones
2–3
L
1 Mar
vs Antigua GFC
2–2
D
24 Feb
@ Cobán Imperial
0–2
L
21 Feb
vs Achuapa
1–1
D
19 Feb
vs Xelajú
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Guastatoya
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Marquense and Malacateco.
What is the prediction for Marquense vs Malacateco?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Marquense vs Malacateco?
On our numbers Marquense have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Malacateco 19%.
How many goals will there be in Marquense vs Malacateco?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Marquense vs Malacateco?
Our predicted score is Marquense 1–1 Malacateco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Marquense vs Malacateco?
Marquense vs Malacateco (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Marquesa de la Ensenada.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
