Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 53% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultMunicipal to win46% · @1.95
Double chanceMunicipal or draw74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score53% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28% · fair 12.01
Mictlán vs Municipal: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Municipal travel to face Mictlán on Sunday 8 March in the Liga Nacional, with Estadio La Asuncion the venue – the ball rolls at 22:00 WAT. In the table, Mictlán are 9th, lower half, on 27 points after 22 matches; Municipal are 2nd (among the top four) with 38.
Current form
Mictlán, last 5: LDWLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Xelajú, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.4 conceded per game.
Municipal, last 5: LWLWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Mixco, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mictlán 1.0 xG, Municipal 1.3 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mictlán 26%, draw 27%, Municipal 46%.
Lower-risk option: Municipal or draw (74%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Municipal or draw (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mictlán 0–1 Municipal. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mictlán26%fair 3.78 · @3.80
Draw27%fair 3.69 · @3.10
Municipal46%fair 2.15 · @1.95
2.24Expected goals
0.97Mictlán xG
1.27Municipal xG
53%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
1–113%
0–011%
1–010%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: Mictlán 1.0 – 1.3 Municipal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Mictlán
Municipal
Attack vs Liga Nacional average
+3%
+6%
Goals conceded vs average
+23%
-38%
Our expected goals here
1.06
1.20
Our own ratings from every Liga Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Municipal to win
46%
2.15
1.95
Double chance
Municipal or draw
74%
1.36
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
53%
1.87
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Municipal (draw no bet)
64%
1.57
–
Asian handicap
Mictlán +1 (Asian handicap)
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
65%
1.54
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
61%
1.65
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
80%
1.25
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
Municipal to score first
51%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Municipal / FT Municipal
25%
4.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
8%
12.01
–
Recent results
Mictlán – last 5
LDWLD
2 Mar
@ Xelajú
0–2
L
26 Feb
@ Mixco
2–2
D
22 Feb
vs Marquense
2–1
W
20 Feb
@ Comunicaciones
1–2
L
15 Feb
vs Antigua GFC
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Municipal – last 6
LWLWDD
4 Mar
@ Mixco
0–1
L
1 Mar
vs Marquense
1–0
W
26 Feb
@ Comunicaciones
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs Antigua GFC
4–2
W
18 Feb
@ Cobán Imperial
0–0
D
15 Feb
vs Achuapa
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mictlán and Municipal.
Our pick is Municipal or draw with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Mictlán vs Municipal?
On our numbers Mictlán have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Municipal 46%.
How many goals will there be in Mictlán vs Municipal?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mictlán vs Municipal?
Our predicted score is Mictlán 0–1 Municipal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Mictlán vs Municipal?
Mictlán vs Municipal (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Asuncion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
