Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 53% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMixco to win ✓62% · @1.48
Double chanceMixco or draw ✓85% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.68
Mixco vs Marquense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Mixco welcome Marquense for a Liga Nacional fixture on Tuesday 7 April (22:00 WAT). In the table, Mixco are 3rd, among the top four, on 36 points after 22 matches; Marquense are 8th (lower half) with 30.
Current form
Mixco, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Comunicaciones, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Marquense, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Xelajú, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (20 Feb 2026) it ended Marquense 2–1 Mixco.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mixco 1.7 xG, Marquense 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mixco 62%, draw 23%, Marquense 15%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.20.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mixco 1–0 Marquense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mixco62%fair 1.61 · @1.48
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.70
Marquense15%fair 6.62 · @6.50
2.48Expected goals
1.74Mixco xG
0.73Marquense xG
53%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Mixco 1.7 – 0.7 Marquense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Mixco
Marquense
Attack vs Liga Nacional average
+16%
-23%
Goals conceded vs average
+13%
-5%
Our expected goals here
1.83
0.79
Our own ratings from every Liga Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Mixco vs Marquense?
On our numbers Mixco have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Marquense 15%.
How many goals will there be in Mixco vs Marquense?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mixco vs Marquense?
Our predicted score is Mixco 1–0 Marquense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Mixco vs Marquense?
Mixco vs Marquense (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Tuesday 7 April 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
