Guastatoya vs Achuapa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 7 April the Liga Nacional brings Guastatoya against Achuapa. Kick-off: 02:00 WAT. In the table, Guastatoya are 7th, lower half, on 31 points after 22 matches; Achuapa are 12th (in the drop zone) with 19. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Guastatoya, last 5: LDDWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Malacateco, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Achuapa, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Municipal, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 4 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.
Momentum favours Guastatoya, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.0 for Achuapa.
Head to head
When they last met (17 Feb 2026) it ended Achuapa 1–0 Guastatoya.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Guastatoya 1.8 xG, Achuapa 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Guastatoya 63%, draw 24%, Achuapa 13%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.05.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Guastatoya 1–0 Achuapa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Guastatoya63%fair 1.58 · @1.45
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.75
Achuapa13%fair 7.92 · @6.75
2.43Expected goals
1.77Guastatoya xG
0.66Achuapa xG
51%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%
From our goals model: Guastatoya 1.8 – 0.7 Achuapa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Guastatoya
Achuapa
Attack vs Liga Nacional average
+2%
-22%
Goals conceded vs average
-9%
+3%
Our expected goals here
1.76
0.65
Our own ratings from every Liga Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Guastatoya vs Achuapa?
On our numbers Guastatoya have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Achuapa 13%.
How many goals will there be in Guastatoya vs Achuapa?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guastatoya vs Achuapa?
Our predicted score is Guastatoya 1–0 Achuapa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Guastatoya vs Achuapa?
Guastatoya vs Achuapa (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Tuesday 7 April 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
