Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.90 – our chance 58% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMictlán to win ✗45% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.78
Mictlán vs Mixco: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Mictlán welcome Mixco to Estadio La Asuncion for a Liga Nacional fixture on Friday 17 April (00:00 WAT). In the table, Mictlán are 9th, lower half, on 27 points after 22 matches; Mixco are 3rd (among the top four) with 36.
Current form
Mictlán, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Marquense, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Mixco, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Marquense, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Mixco, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Mictlán.
Head to head
When they last met (26 Feb 2026) it ended Mixco 2–2 Mictlán.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mictlán 1.6 xG, Mixco 1.2 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mictlán 45%, draw 25%, Mixco 30%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.90.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (71%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mictlán 1–1 Mixco. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mictlán45%fair 2.24 · @2.15
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @3.10
Mixco30%fair 3.28 · @3.10
2.71Expected goals
1.55Mictlán xG
1.16Mixco xG
58%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
2–08%
0–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Mictlán 1.6 – 1.2 Mixco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Mictlán
Mixco
Attack vs Liga Nacional average
+3%
+16%
Goals conceded vs average
+23%
+13%
Our expected goals here
1.93
1.31
Our own ratings from every Liga Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Mictlán vs Mixco?
On our numbers Mictlán have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Mixco 30%.
How many goals will there be in Mictlán vs Mixco?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mictlán vs Mixco?
Our predicted score is Mictlán 1–1 Mixco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Mictlán vs Mixco?
Mictlán vs Mixco (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Asuncion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
