Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗16% · fair 6.36
Xelajú vs Achuapa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 17 April the Liga Nacional brings Xelajú against Achuapa at Estadio Mario Camposeco. Kick-off: 04:00 WAT. In the table, Xelajú are 1st, leading the league, on 39 points after 22 matches; Achuapa are 12th (in the drop zone) with 19. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Xelajú, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Malacateco, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Achuapa, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Guastatoya, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 4 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Momentum favours Xelajú, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.0 for Achuapa.
Head to head
When they last met (25 Feb 2026) it ended Achuapa 0–0 Xelajú.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Xelajú 2.1 xG, Achuapa 0.5 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Xelajú 73%, draw 18%, Achuapa 8%.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Xelajú 2–0 Achuapa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Xelajú73%fair 1.36 · @1.22
Draw18%fair 5.43 · @4.75
Achuapa8%fair 12.17 · @14.00
2.59Expected goals
2.05Xelajú xG
0.54Achuapa xG
50%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–016%
1–015%
3–011%
2–19%
1–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Xelajú 2.1 – 0.5 Achuapa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Xelajú
Achuapa
Attack vs Liga Nacional average
+22%
-22%
Goals conceded vs average
-19%
+3%
Our expected goals here
2.10
0.58
Our own ratings from every Liga Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Xelajú vs Achuapa?
On our numbers Xelajú have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Achuapa 8%.
How many goals will there be in Xelajú vs Achuapa?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Xelajú vs Achuapa?
Our predicted score is Xelajú 2–0 Achuapa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Xelajú vs Achuapa?
Xelajú vs Achuapa (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Mario Camposeco.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
