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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Cobán Imperial v Achuapa: numbers & prediction

Liga Nacional · Guatemala · Estadio Verapaz
Sun 19 Apr 2026

Achuapa

LLLLL
Cobán Imperial 65%Draw 22%Achuapa 13% Expected goals 1.75 – 0.68
75%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.28

8/10Rating
1.28Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 52% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultCobán Imperial to win65% · @1.40
Double chanceCobán Imperial or draw87% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score52% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.92

Cobán Imperial vs Achuapa: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Achuapa travel to face Cobán Imperial on Sunday 19 April in the Liga Nacional, with Estadio Verapaz the venue – the ball rolls at 22:00 WAT. In the table, Cobán Imperial are 6th, upper half, on 32 points after 22 matches; Achuapa are 12th (in the drop zone) with 19. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Cobán Imperial, last 5: LDDLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Malacateco, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Achuapa, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Xelajú, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 4 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Momentum favours Cobán Imperial, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.0 for Achuapa.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Cobán Imperial 1.8 xG, Achuapa 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Cobán Imperial 65%, draw 22%, Achuapa 13%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.15.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 52%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cobán Imperial 1–0 Achuapa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Cobán Imperial65%fair 1.55 · @1.40
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @4.00
Achuapa13%fair 7.69 · @7.75
2.43Expected goals
1.75Cobán Imperial xG
0.68Achuapa xG
52%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%

From our goals model: Cobán Imperial 1.8 – 0.7 Achuapa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Cobán ImperialAchuapa
Attack vs Liga Nacional average+2%-22%
Goals conceded vs average+3%+3%
Our expected goals here1.760.74

Our own ratings from every Liga Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCobán Imperial to win65%1.551.40
Double chanceCobán Imperial or draw87%1.151.03
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score52%1.922.15 ▲
Draw no betCobán Imperial (draw no bet)83%1.20–
Asian handicapCobán Imperial -0.5 (Asian handicap)63%1.58–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals70%1.421.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals54%1.841.77
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals75%1.331.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals90%1.11–
First team to scoreCobán Imperial to score first66%1.52–
Half-time resultCobán Imperial ahead at half-time44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cobán Imperial / FT Cobán Imperial40%2.53–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%10.92–

Recent results

Cobán Imperial – last 6

LDDLWD
17 Apr@ Malacateco0–2L
6 Apr@ Municipal0–0D
1 Aprvs Aurora0–0D
19 Mar@ Marquense1–3L
15 Marvs Comunicaciones2–0W
9 Mar@ Antigua GFC2–2D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Achuapa – last 6

LLLLLL
17 Apr@ Xelajú0–3L
7 Apr@ Guastatoya1–3L
2 Aprvs Municipal1–2L
29 Mar@ Aurora0–1L
21 Marvs Mictlán0–2L
18 Mar@ Mixco0–1L
0.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Cobán Imperial and Achuapa.

Cobán Imperial vs Achuapa head-to-head page →

Liga Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Xelajú221165+1539
2Municipal221156+1138
3Mixco221066+436
4Comunicaciones221129+235
5Antigua GFC22976+534
6Cobán Imperial22886+732
7Guastatoya22877+831
8Marquense229310-430
9Mictlán22769-1127
10Malacateco226412-622
11Aurora224810-1620
12Achuapa225413-1519

More Liga Nacional predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cobán Imperial vs Achuapa?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Cobán Imperial vs Achuapa?

On our numbers Cobán Imperial have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Achuapa 13%.

How many goals will there be in Cobán Imperial vs Achuapa?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Cobán Imperial vs Achuapa?

Our predicted score is Cobán Imperial 1–0 Achuapa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Cobán Imperial vs Achuapa?

Cobán Imperial vs Achuapa (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Verapaz.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.