Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 52% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultMixco to win62% · @1.50
Double chanceMixco or draw85% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score52% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.20
Mixco vs Aurora: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Aurora travel to face Mixco on Sunday 19 April in the Liga Nacional – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Mixco are 3rd, among the top four, on 36 points after 22 matches; Aurora are 11th (in the drop zone) with 20. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Mixco, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Mictlán, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Aurora, last 5: LLDWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Marquense, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Momentum favours Mixco, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Aurora.
Head to head
When they last met (1 Mar 2026) it ended Aurora 1–1 Mixco.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mixco 1.8 xG, Aurora 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mixco 62%, draw 23%, Aurora 15%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.15.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mixco 2–0 Aurora. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mixco62%fair 1.62 · @1.50
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.70
Aurora15%fair 6.71 · @6.00
2.71Expected goals
1.83Mixco xG
0.88Aurora xG
52%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Mixco 1.8 – 0.9 Aurora expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Mixco
Aurora
Attack vs Liga Nacional average
+16%
+8%
Goals conceded vs average
+13%
+6%
Our expected goals here
2.05
1.12
Our own ratings from every Liga Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Mixco vs Aurora?
On our numbers Mixco have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Aurora 15%.
How many goals will there be in Mixco vs Aurora?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mixco vs Aurora?
Our predicted score is Mixco 2–0 Aurora, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Mixco vs Aurora?
Mixco vs Aurora (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
