Argentino de Merlo 37%Draw 30%Defensores Unidos 33%Expected goals 0.80 – 0.70
74%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.38
8/10Rating
1.38Odds
Picks by market
ResultArgentino de Merlo to win37% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win70% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score53% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals74% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–018% · fair 5.61
Argentino de Merlo vs Defensores Unidos: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
22:00 WAT, Saturday 21 February: Argentino de Merlo v Defensores Unidos in the Primera B Metropolitana, played at Estadio Juan Carlos Brieva. In the table, Argentino de Merlo are 13th, lower half, on 50 points after 42 matches; Defensores Unidos are 19th (lower half) with 46.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Argentino de Merlo 0.8 xG, Defensores Unidos 0.7 xG – a total near 1.5. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 74%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Argentino de Merlo 37%, draw 30%, Defensores Unidos 33%.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (74%, odds 1.38 – longer than our fair 1.35, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Argentino de Merlo 0–0 Defensores Unidos. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Argentino de Merlo37%fair 2.72 · @2.45
Draw30%fair 3.30 · @2.80
Defensores Unidos33%fair 3.04 · @3.00
1.50Expected goals
0.80Argentino de Merlo xG
0.70Defensores Unidos xG
47%Both score
26%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–022%
1–018%
0–116%
1–113%
2–07%
0–25%
From our goals model: Argentino de Merlo 0.8 – 0.7 Defensores Unidos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Argentino de Merlo
Defensores Unidos
Attack vs Primera B Metropolitana average
+2%
-16%
Goals conceded vs average
+16%
-13%
Our expected goals here
1.04
0.84
Our own ratings from every Primera B Metropolitana result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Argentino de Merlo to win
37%
2.72
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win
70%
1.44
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
53%
1.90
1.55
Draw no bet
Argentino de Merlo (draw no bet)
53%
1.90
–
Asian handicap
Defensores Unidos +0.5 (Asian handicap)
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
51%
1.96
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
74%
1.35
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
93%
1.07
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
98%
1.02
–
First team to score
Argentino de Merlo to score first
42%
2.41
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
57%
1.74
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw
29%
3.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
18%
5.61
–
Recent results
Argentino de Merlo – last 1
L
16 Feb
@ Comunicaciones
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Defensores Unidos – last 1
D
15 Feb
vs Talleres Remedios
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Argentino de Merlo and Defensores Unidos.
What is the prediction for Argentino de Merlo vs Defensores Unidos?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Argentino de Merlo vs Defensores Unidos?
On our numbers Argentino de Merlo have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Defensores Unidos 33%.
How many goals will there be in Argentino de Merlo vs Defensores Unidos?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 26% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Argentino de Merlo vs Defensores Unidos?
Our predicted score is Argentino de Merlo 0–0 Defensores Unidos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is Argentino de Merlo vs Defensores Unidos?
Argentino de Merlo vs Defensores Unidos (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Juan Carlos Brieva.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
