Arsenal Sarandi 57%Draw 27%Argentino de Merlo 16%Expected goals 1.44 – 0.61
66%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Picks by market
ResultArsenal Sarandi to win ✓57% · @1.80
Double chanceArsenal Sarandi or draw ✓84% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.41
Arsenal Sarandi vs Argentino de Merlo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Arsenal Sarandi welcome Argentino de Merlo to Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona for a Primera B Metropolitana fixture on Friday 10 April (19:30 WAT). In the table, Arsenal Sarandi are 2nd, among the top four, on 77 points after 42 matches; Argentino de Merlo are 13th (lower half) with 50. There are 27 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Arsenal Sarandi, last 3: LDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Argentino Quilmes, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Argentino de Merlo, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Ituzaingó, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Argentino de Merlo, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Arsenal Sarandi.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Arsenal Sarandi 1.4 xG, Argentino de Merlo 0.6 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Arsenal Sarandi 57%, draw 27%, Argentino de Merlo 16%.
GG/NG: NG (56%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arsenal Sarandi 1–0 Argentino de Merlo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Arsenal Sarandi57%fair 1.76 · @1.80
Draw27%fair 3.64 · @3.00
Argentino de Merlo16%fair 6.34 · @4.50
2.05Expected goals
1.44Arsenal Sarandi xG
0.61Argentino de Merlo xG
44%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–018%
2–013%
0–013%
1–111%
2–18%
0–18%
From our goals model: Arsenal Sarandi 1.4 – 0.6 Argentino de Merlo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Arsenal Sarandi
Argentino de Merlo
Attack vs Primera B Metropolitana average
+16%
+2%
Goals conceded vs average
-25%
+16%
Our expected goals here
1.57
0.66
Our own ratings from every Primera B Metropolitana result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arsenal Sarandi to win✓
57%
1.76
1.80
Double chance
Arsenal Sarandi or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
1.44
Draw no bet
Arsenal Sarandi (draw no bet)✓
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
Argentino de Merlo +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.57
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.12
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
1.03
First team to score
Arsenal Sarandi to score first✓
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Arsenal Sarandi / FT Arsenal Sarandi✓
34%
2.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.41
–
Recent results
Arsenal Sarandi – last 3
LDD
4 Mar
vs Argentino Quilmes
0–1
L
27 Feb
@ Defensores Unidos
1–1
D
15 Feb
@ Dock Sud
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Argentino de Merlo – last 5
WLWWL
3 Apr
@ Ituzaingó
1–0
W
29 Mar
vs Talleres Remedios
0–1
L
4 Mar
vs Flandria
2–0
W
27 Feb
@ Argentino Quilmes
1–0
W
16 Feb
@ Comunicaciones
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arsenal Sarandi and Argentino de Merlo.
What is the prediction for Arsenal Sarandi vs Argentino de Merlo?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Arsenal Sarandi vs Argentino de Merlo?
On our numbers Arsenal Sarandi have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Argentino de Merlo 16%.
How many goals will there be in Arsenal Sarandi vs Argentino de Merlo?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arsenal Sarandi vs Argentino de Merlo?
Our predicted score is Arsenal Sarandi 1–0 Argentino de Merlo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Arsenal Sarandi vs Argentino de Merlo?
Arsenal Sarandi vs Argentino de Merlo (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Friday 10 April 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
