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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

UAI Urquiza v Brown DE Adrogue: numbers & prediction

Primera B Metropolitana · Argentina · Monumental de Villa Lynch
0–1
FT
UAI Urquiza 40%Draw 33%Brown DE Adrogue 26% Expected goals 0.95 – 0.72
71%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.40 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.40Odds

Picks by market

ResultUAI Urquiza to win ✗40% · @2.15
Double chanceUAI Urquiza or draw ✗74% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓71% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.57

UAI Urquiza vs Brown DE Adrogue: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 10 April the Primera B Metropolitana brings UAI Urquiza against Brown DE Adrogue at Monumental de Villa Lynch. Kick-off: 19:30 WAT. In the table, UAI Urquiza are 21st, in the drop zone, on 45 points after 42 matches; Brown DE Adrogue are 20th (in the drop zone) with 46. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

UAI Urquiza, last 5: DDDDD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Defensores Unidos, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.4 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Brown DE Adrogue, last 5: LLWDD Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Villa Dalmine, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.6 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give UAI Urquiza 1.0 xG, Brown DE Adrogue 0.7 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 71%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – UAI Urquiza 40%, draw 33%, Brown DE Adrogue 26%.
  • Lower-risk option: UAI Urquiza or draw (74%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.53.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (71%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: UAI Urquiza 0–0 Brown DE Adrogue. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

UAI Urquiza40%fair 2.48 · @2.15
Draw33%fair 3.01 · @2.75
Brown DE Adrogue26%fair 3.78 · @3.50
1.67Expected goals
0.95UAI Urquiza xG
0.72Brown DE Adrogue xG
46%Both score
29%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–019%
1–018%
0–114%
1–113%
2–09%
2–16%

From our goals model: UAI Urquiza 1.0 – 0.7 Brown DE Adrogue expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

UAI UrquizaBrown DE Adrogue
Attack vs Primera B Metropolitana average-16%-31%
Goals conceded vs average-3%-24%
Our expected goals here0.750.57

Our own ratings from every Primera B Metropolitana result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUAI Urquiza to win ✗40%2.482.15
Double chanceUAI Urquiza or draw ✗74%1.361.22
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓54%1.841.53
Draw no betUAI Urquiza (draw no bet) ✗60%1.66–
Asian handicapBrown DE Adrogue +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗54%1.841.57
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓71%1.401.40
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓87%1.151.12
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓94%1.061.03
First team to scoreUAI Urquiza to score first ✗46%2.16–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓55%1.83–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗26%3.81–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18%5.57–

Recent results

UAI Urquiza – last 5

DDDDD
15 Marvs Defensores Unidos2–2D
4 Marvs Dock Sud0–0D
28 Feb@ Deportivo Merlo0–0D
23 Febvs Deportivo Camioneros0–0D
15 Feb@ Sportivo Italiano0–0D
0.4Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5

Brown DE Adrogue – last 5

LLWDD
3 Aprvs Villa Dalmine1–4L
29 Mar@ Excursionistas0–1L
3 Mar@ Deportivo Laferrere1–0W
28 Feb@ Ituzaingó1–1D
23 Febvs Deportivo Armenio0–0D
0.6Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between UAI Urquiza and Brown DE Adrogue.

UAI Urquiza vs Brown DE Adrogue head-to-head page →

Primera B Metropolitana table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Excursionistas422499+3681
2Arsenal Sarandi4221147+2877
3Sportivo Italiano42201210+1572
4Talleres Remedios42201111+1971
5Deportivo Camioneros42191310+1570
6Villa Dalmine42181410+1268
7Real Pilar42181212+466
8Deportivo Armenio42171213+363
9Comunicaciones42151512+560
10Deportivo Laferrere42151413-259
11Villa San Carlos42121515-551
12San Martín Burzaco42121515-651
13Argentino de Merlo42131118-650
14Flandria42131019-1049
15Deportivo Merlo42111615-1549
16Liniers42111516-748
17Argentino Quilmes42101715-847
18Dock Sud42111417-947
19Defensores Unidos42101616-646
20Brown DE Adrogue42101616-1246
21UAI Urquiza4282113-1045
22Ituzaingó4211427-4117

More Primera B Metropolitana predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for UAI Urquiza vs Brown DE Adrogue?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win UAI Urquiza vs Brown DE Adrogue?

On our numbers UAI Urquiza have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 33% and Brown DE Adrogue 26%.

How many goals will there be in UAI Urquiza vs Brown DE Adrogue?

We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for UAI Urquiza vs Brown DE Adrogue?

Our predicted score is UAI Urquiza 0–0 Brown DE Adrogue, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.

When is UAI Urquiza vs Brown DE Adrogue?

UAI Urquiza vs Brown DE Adrogue (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Friday 10 April 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Monumental de Villa Lynch.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.