Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.45 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
Picks by market
ResultArgentino Quilmes to win ✓40% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 6.97
Argentino Quilmes vs San Martín Burzaco: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
San Martín Burzaco travel to face Argentino Quilmes on Thursday 16 April in the Primera B Metropolitana, with Barranca Quilmena stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 00:00 WAT. In the table, Argentino Quilmes are 17th, lower half, on 47 points after 42 matches; San Martín Burzaco are 12th (lower half) with 51.
Current form
Argentino Quilmes, last 5: LDWLL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Real Pilar, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
San Martín Burzaco, last 5: WDWDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Comunicaciones, away. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours San Martín Burzaco, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for Argentino Quilmes.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Argentino Quilmes 1.2 xG, San Martín Burzaco 0.9 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Argentino Quilmes 40%, draw 29%, San Martín Burzaco 31%.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Argentino Quilmes 1–0 San Martín Burzaco. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Argentino Quilmes40%fair 2.50 · @2.40
Draw29%fair 3.45 · @2.95
San Martín Burzaco31%fair 3.22 · @2.90
2.11Expected goals
1.18Argentino Quilmes xG
0.93San Martín Burzaco xG
50%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Argentino Quilmes 1.2 – 0.9 San Martín Burzaco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Argentino Quilmes
San Martín Burzaco
Attack vs Primera B Metropolitana average
-24%
+4%
Goals conceded vs average
-8%
+32%
Our expected goals here
1.17
0.83
Our own ratings from every Primera B Metropolitana result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Argentino Quilmes to win✓
40%
2.50
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
71%
1.41
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
1.62
Draw no bet
Argentino Quilmes (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.78
–
Asian handicap
San Martín Burzaco +1 (Asian handicap)✗
77%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
First team to score
Argentino Quilmes to score first✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Argentino Quilmes / FT Argentino Quilmes✓
24%
4.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
6.97
–
Recent results
Argentino Quilmes – last 6
LDWLLD
29 Mar
@ Real Pilar
2–3
L
15 Mar
@ Villa Dalmine
1–1
D
4 Mar
@ Arsenal Sarandi
1–0
W
27 Feb
vs Argentino de Merlo
0–1
L
22 Feb
@ Talleres Remedios
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Deportivo Laferrere
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
San Martín Burzaco – last 5
WDWDD
5 Apr
@ Comunicaciones
1–0
W
29 Mar
vs Dock Sud
1–1
D
4 Mar
vs Ituzaingó
3–0
W
28 Feb
vs Villa San Carlos
3–3
D
22 Feb
@ Liniers
0–0
D
1.6Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Argentino Quilmes and San Martín Burzaco.
What is the prediction for Argentino Quilmes vs San Martín Burzaco?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Argentino Quilmes vs San Martín Burzaco?
On our numbers Argentino Quilmes have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 29% and San Martín Burzaco 31%.
How many goals will there be in Argentino Quilmes vs San Martín Burzaco?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Argentino Quilmes vs San Martín Burzaco?
Our predicted score is Argentino Quilmes 1–0 San Martín Burzaco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Argentino Quilmes vs San Martín Burzaco?
Argentino Quilmes vs San Martín Burzaco (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Thursday 16 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Barranca Quilmena stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
