Villa San Carlos 29%Draw 27%Excursionistas 45%Expected goals 1.00 – 1.31
66%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 55% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultExcursionistas to win ✓45% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.74
Villa San Carlos vs Excursionistas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:30 WAT, Sunday 31 May: Villa San Carlos v Excursionistas in the Primera B Metropolitana, played at Genacio Salice Stadium. In the table, Villa San Carlos are 11th, upper half, on 51 points after 42 matches; Excursionistas are 1st (leading the league) with 81. There are 30 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Villa San Carlos, last 5: LDWLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Deportivo Camioneros, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Excursionistas, last 5: DWDLD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Argentino Quilmes, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Villa San Carlos 1.0 xG, Excursionistas 1.3 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Villa San Carlos 29%, draw 27%, Excursionistas 45%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (66%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Villa San Carlos 1–1 Excursionistas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Villa San Carlos29%fair 3.51 · @3.20
Draw27%fair 3.72 · @3.10
Excursionistas45%fair 2.24 · @2.15
2.31Expected goals
1.00Villa San Carlos xG
1.31Excursionistas xG
55%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
1–113%
0–010%
1–010%
0–29%
1–29%
From our goals model: Villa San Carlos 1.0 – 1.3 Excursionistas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Villa San Carlos
Excursionistas
Attack vs Primera B Metropolitana average
-0%
+67%
Goals conceded vs average
-5%
-9%
Our expected goals here
1.06
1.36
Our own ratings from every Primera B Metropolitana result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Excursionistas to win✓
45%
2.24
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Excursionistas (draw no bet)✓
61%
1.64
–
Asian handicap
Villa San Carlos +1 (Asian handicap)✗
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Excursionistas to score first✓
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Excursionistas / FT Excursionistas✗
25%
3.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.74
–
Recent results
Villa San Carlos – last 6
LDWLLD
26 May
@ Deportivo Camioneros
0–3
L
22 May
@ Arsenal Sarandi
2–2
D
14 Apr
@ Flandria
4–1
W
23 Mar
@ Dock Sud
0–2
L
3 Mar
vs Sportivo Italiano
0–1
L
28 Feb
@ San Martín Burzaco
3–3
D
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Excursionistas – last 6
DWDLDD
27 May
@ Argentino Quilmes
2–2
D
23 May
vs Liniers
4–1
W
9 May
vs UAI Urquiza
0–0
D
18 Apr
vs Arsenal Sarandi
0–1
L
14 Apr
@ Argentino de Merlo
1–1
D
11 Apr
vs Talleres Remedios
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Villa San Carlos and Excursionistas.
What is the prediction for Villa San Carlos vs Excursionistas?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Villa San Carlos vs Excursionistas?
On our numbers Villa San Carlos have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Excursionistas 45%.
How many goals will there be in Villa San Carlos vs Excursionistas?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Villa San Carlos vs Excursionistas?
Our predicted score is Villa San Carlos 1–1 Excursionistas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Villa San Carlos vs Excursionistas?
Villa San Carlos vs Excursionistas (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Sunday 31 May 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Genacio Salice Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.