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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Arsenal Sarandi v Sportivo Italiano: numbers & prediction

Primera B Metropolitana · Argentina · Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona
Arsenal Sarandi 51%Draw 30%Sportivo Italiano 18% Expected goals 1.22 – 0.68
69%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.44 · bookmaker 1.36 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.36Odds

Picks by market

ResultArsenal Sarandi to win ✗51% · @1.77
Double chanceArsenal Sarandi or draw ✗82% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.42
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗69% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.49

Arsenal Sarandi vs Sportivo Italiano: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

18:30 WAT, Saturday 6 June: Arsenal Sarandi v Sportivo Italiano in the Primera B Metropolitana, played at Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona. In the table, Arsenal Sarandi are 2nd, among the top four, on 77 points after 42 matches; Sportivo Italiano are 3rd (among the top four) with 72.

Current form

Arsenal Sarandi, last 5: LDDWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to San Martín Burzaco, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Sportivo Italiano, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Argentino de Merlo, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Arsenal Sarandi 1.2 xG, Sportivo Italiano 0.7 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 69%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Arsenal Sarandi 51%, draw 30%, Sportivo Italiano 18%.
  • GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.42.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arsenal Sarandi 1–0 Sportivo Italiano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Arsenal Sarandi51%fair 1.95 · @1.77
Draw30%fair 3.31 · @2.95
Sportivo Italiano18%fair 5.45 · @5.10
1.90Expected goals
1.22Arsenal Sarandi xG
0.68Sportivo Italiano xG
48%Both score
31%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–018%
0–015%
1–112%
2–011%
0–110%
2–18%

From our goals model: Arsenal Sarandi 1.2 – 0.7 Sportivo Italiano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Arsenal SarandiSportivo Italiano
Attack vs Primera B Metropolitana average+16%+14%
Goals conceded vs average-25%-15%
Our expected goals here1.150.74

Our own ratings from every Primera B Metropolitana result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultArsenal Sarandi to win ✗51%1.951.77
Double chanceArsenal Sarandi or draw ✗82%1.221.10
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗52%1.921.42
Draw no betArsenal Sarandi (draw no bet) ✗74%1.36–
Asian handicapSportivo Italiano +1 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.44–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓57%1.771.65
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗69%1.441.36
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗87%1.14–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓96%1.05–
First team to scoreArsenal Sarandi to score first ✗55%1.83–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗51%1.98–
Half-time / full-timeHT Arsenal Sarandi / FT Arsenal Sarandi ✗28%3.52–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18%5.49–

Recent results

Arsenal Sarandi – last 6

LDDWDW
31 May@ San Martín Burzaco0–2L
26 May@ Flandria0–0D
22 Mayvs Villa San Carlos2–2D
18 Apr@ Excursionistas1–0W
14 Apr@ Ituzaingó0–0D
10 Aprvs Argentino de Merlo3–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Sportivo Italiano – last 6

LLDLWW
31 Mayvs Argentino de Merlo0–2L
27 Mayvs San Martín Burzaco1–2L
18 Mayvs Deportivo Laferrere1–1D
14 Apr@ Defensores Unidos0–2L
5 Apr@ Dock Sud3–1W
29 Marvs Deportivo Merlo2–1W
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Arsenal Sarandi and Sportivo Italiano.

Arsenal Sarandi vs Sportivo Italiano head-to-head page →

Primera B Metropolitana table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Excursionistas422499+3681
2Arsenal Sarandi4221147+2877
3Sportivo Italiano42201210+1572
4Talleres Remedios42201111+1971
5Deportivo Camioneros42191310+1570
6Villa Dalmine42181410+1268
7Real Pilar42181212+466
8Deportivo Armenio42171213+363
9Comunicaciones42151512+560
10Deportivo Laferrere42151413-259
11Villa San Carlos42121515-551
12San Martín Burzaco42121515-651
13Argentino de Merlo42131118-650
14Flandria42131019-1049
15Deportivo Merlo42111615-1549
16Liniers42111516-748
17Argentino Quilmes42101715-847
18Dock Sud42111417-947
19Defensores Unidos42101616-646
20Brown DE Adrogue42101616-1246
21UAI Urquiza4282113-1045
22Ituzaingó4211427-4117

More Primera B Metropolitana predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Arsenal Sarandi vs Sportivo Italiano?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Arsenal Sarandi vs Sportivo Italiano?

On our numbers Arsenal Sarandi have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Sportivo Italiano 18%.

How many goals will there be in Arsenal Sarandi vs Sportivo Italiano?

We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Arsenal Sarandi vs Sportivo Italiano?

Our predicted score is Arsenal Sarandi 1–0 Sportivo Italiano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.

When is Arsenal Sarandi vs Sportivo Italiano?

Arsenal Sarandi vs Sportivo Italiano (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 6 June 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.