Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
1
Value bet: Excursionistas to win @ 1.95 – our chance 62% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultExcursionistas to win ✓62% · @1.95
Double chanceExcursionistas or draw ✓84% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.61
Excursionistas vs San Martín Burzaco: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
San Martín Burzaco travel to face Excursionistas on Saturday 6 June in the Primera B Metropolitana, with Excursionistas Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 19:30 WAT. In the table, Excursionistas are 1st, leading the league, on 81 points after 42 matches; San Martín Burzaco are 12th (lower half) with 51. There are 30 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Excursionistas, last 5: WDWDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Villa San Carlos, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
San Martín Burzaco, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Arsenal Sarandi, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Excursionistas 1.9 xG, San Martín Burzaco 0.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Excursionistas 62%, draw 23%, San Martín Burzaco 16%.
Lower-risk option: Excursionistas or draw (84%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.20.
Price worth noting: Excursionistas to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (67%, odds 1.55 – longer than our fair 1.50, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Excursionistas 2–0 San Martín Burzaco. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Excursionistas62%fair 1.63 · @1.95
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @2.95
San Martín Burzaco16%fair 6.36 · @3.90
2.58Expected goals
1.86Excursionistas xG
0.72San Martín Burzaco xG
50%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Excursionistas 1.9 – 0.7 San Martín Burzaco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Excursionistas
San Martín Burzaco
Attack vs Primera B Metropolitana average
+67%
+4%
Goals conceded vs average
-9%
+32%
Our expected goals here
2.58
0.81
Our own ratings from every Primera B Metropolitana result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Excursionistas to win✓
62%
1.63
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Excursionistas or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
2.20 ▲
Draw no bet
Excursionistas (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Excursionistas -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.55
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Excursionistas to score first✓
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Excursionistas ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Excursionistas / FT Excursionistas✓
41%
2.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.61
–
Recent results
Excursionistas – last 6
WDWDLD
31 May
@ Villa San Carlos
2–0
W
27 May
@ Argentino Quilmes
2–2
D
23 May
vs Liniers
4–1
W
9 May
vs UAI Urquiza
0–0
D
18 Apr
vs Arsenal Sarandi
0–1
L
14 Apr
@ Argentino de Merlo
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
San Martín Burzaco – last 6
WWLLWD
31 May
vs Arsenal Sarandi
2–0
W
27 May
@ Sportivo Italiano
2–1
W
19 Apr
vs Flandria
0–1
L
16 Apr
@ Argentino Quilmes
0–3
L
5 Apr
@ Comunicaciones
1–0
W
29 Mar
vs Dock Sud
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Excursionistas and San Martín Burzaco.
What is the prediction for Excursionistas vs San Martín Burzaco?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Excursionistas vs San Martín Burzaco?
On our numbers Excursionistas have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and San Martín Burzaco 16%.
How many goals will there be in Excursionistas vs San Martín Burzaco?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Excursionistas vs San Martín Burzaco?
Our predicted score is Excursionistas 2–0 San Martín Burzaco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Excursionistas vs San Martín Burzaco?
Excursionistas vs San Martín Burzaco (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 6 June 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Excursionistas Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
