Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.30 – our chance 50% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSan Martín Burzaco to win ✗36% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓70% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.30
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 14.81
San Martín Burzaco vs Villa Dalmine: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 13 June the Primera B Metropolitana brings San Martín Burzaco against Villa Dalmine at Francisco Boga Stadium. Kick-off: 00:00 WAT. In the table, San Martín Burzaco are 12th, lower half, on 51 points after 42 matches; Villa Dalmine are 6th (upper half) with 68. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
San Martín Burzaco, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Excursionistas, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Villa Dalmine, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Villa San Carlos, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give San Martín Burzaco 1.0 xG, Villa Dalmine 0.9 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 69%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – San Martín Burzaco 36%, draw 30%, Villa Dalmine 34%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.30.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.30 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 50%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: San Martín Burzaco 1–0 Villa Dalmine. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
San Martín Burzaco36%fair 2.80 · @3.00
Draw30%fair 3.31 · @2.80
Villa Dalmine34%fair 2.94 · @2.45
1.92Expected goals
1.00San Martín Burzaco xG
0.92Villa Dalmine xG
50%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
0–015%
1–113%
0–113%
2–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: San Martín Burzaco 1.0 – 0.9 Villa Dalmine expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
San Martín Burzaco
Villa Dalmine
Attack vs Primera B Metropolitana average
+4%
-23%
Goals conceded vs average
+32%
-14%
Our expected goals here
1.04
0.88
Our own ratings from every Primera B Metropolitana result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
San Martín Burzaco to win✗
36%
2.80
3.00 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
70%
1.43
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
2.30 ▲
Draw no bet
San Martín Burzaco (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.95
–
Asian handicap
Villa Dalmine +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.65
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
First team to score
San Martín Burzaco to score first✗
45%
2.25
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
23%
4.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
14.81
–
Recent results
San Martín Burzaco – last 6
LWWLLW
6 Jun
@ Excursionistas
0–2
L
31 May
vs Arsenal Sarandi
2–0
W
27 May
@ Sportivo Italiano
2–1
W
19 Apr
vs Flandria
0–1
L
16 Apr
@ Argentino Quilmes
0–3
L
5 Apr
@ Comunicaciones
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Villa Dalmine – last 6
DLLWWD
6 Jun
vs Villa San Carlos
0–0
D
31 May
@ Liniers
0–1
L
27 May
@ Defensores Unidos
1–2
L
14 Apr
@ Talleres Remedios
2–0
W
3 Apr
@ Brown DE Adrogue
4–1
W
15 Mar
vs Argentino Quilmes
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between San Martín Burzaco and Villa Dalmine.
What is the prediction for San Martín Burzaco vs Villa Dalmine?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win San Martín Burzaco vs Villa Dalmine?
On our numbers San Martín Burzaco have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Villa Dalmine 34%.
How many goals will there be in San Martín Burzaco vs Villa Dalmine?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Martín Burzaco vs Villa Dalmine?
Our predicted score is San Martín Burzaco 1–0 Villa Dalmine, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is San Martín Burzaco vs Villa Dalmine?
San Martín Burzaco vs Villa Dalmine (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 13 June 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Francisco Boga Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
