Argentino de Merlo 45%Draw 27%Dock Sud 28%Expected goals 1.30 – 0.86
66%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.36 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.36Odds
1
Value bet: Argentino de Merlo to win @ 2.45 – our chance 45% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultArgentino de Merlo to win ✓45% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.68
Argentino de Merlo vs Dock Sud: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Argentino de Merlo welcome Dock Sud to Estadio Juan Carlos Brieva for a Primera B Metropolitana fixture on Sunday 21 June (18:30 WAT). In the table, Argentino de Merlo are 13th, lower half, on 50 points after 42 matches; Dock Sud are 18th (lower half) with 47. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Argentino de Merlo, last 5: DDWLD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Deportivo Merlo, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Dock Sud, last 5: DLLWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Talleres Remedios, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Argentino de Merlo 1.3 xG, Dock Sud 0.9 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Argentino de Merlo 45%, draw 27%, Dock Sud 28%.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: Argentino de Merlo to win @2.45 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 45%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Argentino de Merlo 1–0 Dock Sud. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Argentino de Merlo45%fair 2.24 · @2.45
Draw27%fair 3.65 · @2.80
Dock Sud28%fair 3.58 · @3.00
2.17Expected goals
1.30Argentino de Merlo xG
0.86Dock Sud xG
50%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–010%
2–18%
From our goals model: Argentino de Merlo 1.3 – 0.9 Dock Sud expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Argentino de Merlo
Dock Sud
Attack vs Primera B Metropolitana average
+2%
-5%
Goals conceded vs average
+16%
+42%
Our expected goals here
1.69
0.95
Our own ratings from every Primera B Metropolitana result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Argentino de Merlo to win✓
45%
2.24
2.45 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.38
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.98
1.53
Draw no bet
Argentino de Merlo (draw no bet)✓
62%
1.63
–
Asian handicap
Dock Sud +1 (Asian handicap)✗
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.65
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Argentino de Merlo to score first
53%
1.87
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Argentino de Merlo / FT Argentino de Merlo✗
27%
3.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.68
–
Recent results
Argentino de Merlo – last 6
DDWLDL
14 Jun
@ Deportivo Merlo
2–2
D
6 Jun
vs Deportivo Camioneros
0–0
D
31 May
@ Sportivo Italiano
2–0
W
26 May
@ Deportivo Armenio
0–2
L
14 Apr
vs Excursionistas
1–1
D
10 Apr
@ Arsenal Sarandi
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Dock Sud – last 6
DLLWDL
13 Jun
vs Talleres Remedios
1–1
D
7 Jun
@ Deportivo Laferrere
1–2
L
30 May
vs Brown DE Adrogue
0–1
L
26 May
vs Real Pilar
2–0
W
16 Apr
vs Deportivo Merlo
1–1
D
5 Apr
vs Sportivo Italiano
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Argentino de Merlo and Dock Sud.
What is the prediction for Argentino de Merlo vs Dock Sud?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Argentino de Merlo vs Dock Sud?
On our numbers Argentino de Merlo have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Dock Sud 28%.
How many goals will there be in Argentino de Merlo vs Dock Sud?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Argentino de Merlo vs Dock Sud?
Our predicted score is Argentino de Merlo 1–0 Dock Sud, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Argentino de Merlo vs Dock Sud?
Argentino de Merlo vs Dock Sud (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Sunday 21 June 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Juan Carlos Brieva.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
