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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Brown DE Adrogue v Argentino Quilmes: numbers & prediction

Primera B Metropolitana · Argentina · Estadio Lorenzo Arandilla
Brown DE Adrogue 36%Draw 34%Argentino Quilmes 30% Expected goals 0.91 – 0.72
73%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.36 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.36Odds

Picks by market

ResultBrown DE Adrogue to win ✗36% · @2.45
Double chanceBrown DE Adrogue or draw ✗70% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗73% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.61

Brown DE Adrogue vs Argentino Quilmes: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Brown DE Adrogue welcome Argentino Quilmes to Estadio Lorenzo Arandilla for a Primera B Metropolitana fixture on Saturday 20 June (19:00 WAT). In the table, Brown DE Adrogue are 20th, in the drop zone, on 46 points after 42 matches; Argentino Quilmes are 17th (lower half) with 47. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Brown DE Adrogue, last 5: DLWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Defensores Unidos, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Argentino Quilmes, last 5: DWWDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Deportivo Armenio, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Argentino Quilmes, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Brown DE Adrogue.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Brown DE Adrogue 0.9 xG, Argentino Quilmes 0.7 xG – a total near 1.6. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 73%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Brown DE Adrogue 36%, draw 34%, Argentino Quilmes 30%.
  • Lower-risk option: Brown DE Adrogue or draw (70%) at 1.28.
  • GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.53.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (73%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Brown DE Adrogue 0–0 Argentino Quilmes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Brown DE Adrogue36%fair 2.76 · @2.45
Draw34%fair 2.97 · @2.80
Argentino Quilmes30%fair 3.32 · @3.00
1.64Expected goals
0.91Brown DE Adrogue xG
0.72Argentino Quilmes xG
46%Both score
27%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–019%
1–018%
0–114%
1–113%
2–08%
2–16%

From our goals model: Brown DE Adrogue 0.9 – 0.7 Argentino Quilmes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Brown DE AdrogueArgentino Quilmes
Attack vs Primera B Metropolitana average-31%-24%
Goals conceded vs average-24%-8%
Our expected goals here0.740.50

Our own ratings from every Primera B Metropolitana result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBrown DE Adrogue to win ✗36%2.762.45
Double chanceBrown DE Adrogue or draw ✗70%1.431.28
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗54%1.841.53
Draw no betBrown DE Adrogue (draw no bet) ✗55%1.83–
Asian handicapArgentino Quilmes +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓53%1.901.65
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗73%1.371.36
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗92%1.09–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗97%1.03–
First team to scoreBrown DE Adrogue to score first ✗45%2.22–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗55%1.81–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗27%3.72–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18%5.61–

Recent results

Brown DE Adrogue – last 6

DLWLLD
13 Jun@ Defensores Unidos1–1D
6 Junvs Comunicaciones1–2L
30 May@ Dock Sud1–0W
26 Mayvs Talleres Remedios1–2L
22 Mayvs Deportivo Merlo0–1L
15 Aprvs Real Pilar1–1D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Argentino Quilmes – last 6

DWWDDL
14 Junvs Deportivo Armenio1–1D
6 Jun@ Flandria1–0W
1 Junvs Ituzaingó2–0W
27 Mayvs Excursionistas2–2D
17 May@ Comunicaciones0–0D
3 May@ Deportivo Merlo0–1L
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Brown DE Adrogue and Argentino Quilmes.

Brown DE Adrogue vs Argentino Quilmes head-to-head page →

Primera B Metropolitana table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Excursionistas422499+3681
2Arsenal Sarandi4221147+2877
3Sportivo Italiano42201210+1572
4Talleres Remedios42201111+1971
5Deportivo Camioneros42191310+1570
6Villa Dalmine42181410+1268
7Real Pilar42181212+466
8Deportivo Armenio42171213+363
9Comunicaciones42151512+560
10Deportivo Laferrere42151413-259
11Villa San Carlos42121515-551
12San Martín Burzaco42121515-651
13Argentino de Merlo42131118-650
14Flandria42131019-1049
15Deportivo Merlo42111615-1549
16Liniers42111516-748
17Argentino Quilmes42101715-847
18Dock Sud42111417-947
19Defensores Unidos42101616-646
20Brown DE Adrogue42101616-1246
21UAI Urquiza4282113-1045
22Ituzaingó4211427-4117

More Primera B Metropolitana predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Brown DE Adrogue vs Argentino Quilmes?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Brown DE Adrogue vs Argentino Quilmes?

On our numbers Brown DE Adrogue have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 34% and Argentino Quilmes 30%.

How many goals will there be in Brown DE Adrogue vs Argentino Quilmes?

We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Brown DE Adrogue vs Argentino Quilmes?

Our predicted score is Brown DE Adrogue 0–0 Argentino Quilmes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.

When is Brown DE Adrogue vs Argentino Quilmes?

Brown DE Adrogue vs Argentino Quilmes (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 20 June 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Lorenzo Arandilla.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.