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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Villa Dalmine v Sportivo Italiano: numbers & prediction

Primera B Metropolitana · Argentina · Estadio El Coliseo de Mitre y Puccini
2–1
FT
Villa Dalmine 37%Draw 32%Sportivo Italiano 32% Expected goals 0.88 – 0.86
73%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultVilla Dalmine to win ✓37% · @2.33
Double chanceVilla Dalmine or draw ✓68% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.45
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.48

Villa Dalmine vs Sportivo Italiano: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 20 June the Primera B Metropolitana brings Villa Dalmine against Sportivo Italiano at Estadio El Coliseo de Mitre y Puccini. Kick-off: 19:30 WAT. In the table, Villa Dalmine are 6th, upper half, on 68 points after 42 matches; Sportivo Italiano are 3rd (among the top four) with 72.

Current form

Villa Dalmine, last 5: WDLLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over San Martín Burzaco, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Sportivo Italiano, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Excursionistas, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Villa Dalmine, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Sportivo Italiano.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Villa Dalmine 0.9 xG, Sportivo Italiano 0.9 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 73%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Villa Dalmine 37%, draw 32%, Sportivo Italiano 32%.
  • Lower-risk option: Villa Dalmine or draw (68%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.45.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Villa Dalmine 0–0 Sportivo Italiano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Villa Dalmine37%fair 2.72 · @2.33
Draw32%fair 3.16 · @2.80
Sportivo Italiano32%fair 3.17 · @3.20
1.74Expected goals
0.88Villa Dalmine xG
0.86Sportivo Italiano xG
48%Both score
27%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–018%
1–015%
0–115%
1–113%
2–07%
0–26%

From our goals model: Villa Dalmine 0.9 – 0.9 Sportivo Italiano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Villa DalmineSportivo Italiano
Attack vs Primera B Metropolitana average-23%+14%
Goals conceded vs average-14%-15%
Our expected goals here0.760.84

Our own ratings from every Primera B Metropolitana result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVilla Dalmine to win ✓37%2.722.33
Double chanceVilla Dalmine or draw ✓68%1.461.25
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗52%1.931.45
Draw no betVilla Dalmine (draw no bet) ✓54%1.86–
Asian handicapSportivo Italiano +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓53%1.881.70
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗73%1.371.30
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓97%1.03–
First team to scoreVilla Dalmine to score first ✗42%2.40–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗54%1.87–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗25%3.95–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15%6.48–

Recent results

Villa Dalmine – last 6

WDLLWW
13 Jun@ San Martín Burzaco2–0W
6 Junvs Villa San Carlos0–0D
31 May@ Liniers0–1L
27 May@ Defensores Unidos1–2L
14 Apr@ Talleres Remedios2–0W
3 Apr@ Brown DE Adrogue4–1W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Sportivo Italiano – last 6

LWLLDL
13 Junvs Excursionistas0–1L
6 Jun@ Arsenal Sarandi3–1W
31 Mayvs Argentino de Merlo0–2L
27 Mayvs San Martín Burzaco1–2L
18 Mayvs Deportivo Laferrere1–1D
14 Apr@ Defensores Unidos0–2L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Villa Dalmine and Sportivo Italiano.

Villa Dalmine vs Sportivo Italiano head-to-head page →

Primera B Metropolitana table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Excursionistas422499+3681
2Arsenal Sarandi4221147+2877
3Sportivo Italiano42201210+1572
4Talleres Remedios42201111+1971
5Deportivo Camioneros42191310+1570
6Villa Dalmine42181410+1268
7Real Pilar42181212+466
8Deportivo Armenio42171213+363
9Comunicaciones42151512+560
10Deportivo Laferrere42151413-259
11Villa San Carlos42121515-551
12San Martín Burzaco42121515-651
13Argentino de Merlo42131118-650
14Flandria42131019-1049
15Deportivo Merlo42111615-1549
16Liniers42111516-748
17Argentino Quilmes42101715-847
18Dock Sud42111417-947
19Defensores Unidos42101616-646
20Brown DE Adrogue42101616-1246
21UAI Urquiza4282113-1045
22Ituzaingó4211427-4117

More Primera B Metropolitana predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Villa Dalmine vs Sportivo Italiano?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Villa Dalmine vs Sportivo Italiano?

On our numbers Villa Dalmine have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 32% and Sportivo Italiano 32%.

How many goals will there be in Villa Dalmine vs Sportivo Italiano?

We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Villa Dalmine vs Sportivo Italiano?

Our predicted score is Villa Dalmine 0–0 Sportivo Italiano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.

When is Villa Dalmine vs Sportivo Italiano?

Villa Dalmine vs Sportivo Italiano (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 20 June 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Coliseo de Mitre y Puccini.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.