Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.45 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
Picks by market
ResultReal Pilar to win ✗53% · @1.95
Double chanceReal Pilar or draw ✓81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.31
Real Pilar vs San Martín Burzaco: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 27 June the Primera B Metropolitana brings Real Pilar against San Martín Burzaco at Municipal de Pilar-Carlos Barraza. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Real Pilar are 7th, upper half, on 66 points after 42 matches; San Martín Burzaco are 12th (lower half) with 51. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Real Pilar, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Villa San Carlos, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
San Martín Burzaco, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with UAI Urquiza, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Real Pilar 1.5 xG, San Martín Burzaco 0.8 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 50%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Real Pilar 53%, draw 28%, San Martín Burzaco 19%.
Lower-risk option: Real Pilar or draw (81%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.05.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (65%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Pilar 1–1 San Martín Burzaco. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Real Pilar53%fair 1.89 · @1.95
Draw28%fair 3.57 · @3.00
San Martín Burzaco19%fair 5.25 · @3.80
2.24Expected goals
1.45Real Pilar xG
0.79San Martín Burzaco xG
50%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–112%
2–011%
0–011%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Real Pilar 1.5 – 0.8 San Martín Burzaco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Real Pilar
San Martín Burzaco
Attack vs Primera B Metropolitana average
-2%
+4%
Goals conceded vs average
-5%
+32%
Our expected goals here
1.51
0.85
Our own ratings from every Primera B Metropolitana result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Pilar to win✗
53%
1.89
1.95
Double chance
Real Pilar or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
2.00
2.05
Draw no bet
Real Pilar (draw no bet)
74%
1.36
–
Asian handicap
San Martín Burzaco +1 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
Real Pilar to score first✗
58%
1.73
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Pilar / FT Real Pilar✗
32%
3.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.31
–
Recent results
Real Pilar – last 6
DWLWLD
20 Jun
vs Villa San Carlos
1–1
D
14 Jun
@ Liniers
1–0
W
5 Jun
@ Ituzaingó
0–2
L
30 May
vs UAI Urquiza
2–1
W
26 May
@ Dock Sud
0–2
L
15 Apr
@ Brown DE Adrogue
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
San Martín Burzaco – last 6
DLLWWL
20 Jun
@ UAI Urquiza
0–0
D
13 Jun
vs Villa Dalmine
0–2
L
6 Jun
@ Excursionistas
0–2
L
31 May
vs Arsenal Sarandi
2–0
W
27 May
@ Sportivo Italiano
2–1
W
19 Apr
vs Flandria
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Pilar and San Martín Burzaco.
What is the prediction for Real Pilar vs San Martín Burzaco?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Real Pilar vs San Martín Burzaco?
On our numbers Real Pilar have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 28% and San Martín Burzaco 19%.
How many goals will there be in Real Pilar vs San Martín Burzaco?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Pilar vs San Martín Burzaco?
Our predicted score is Real Pilar 1–1 San Martín Burzaco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Real Pilar vs San Martín Burzaco?
Real Pilar vs San Martín Burzaco (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 27 June 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Municipal de Pilar-Carlos Barraza.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
