Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.36
Defensores Unidos vs Argentino de Merlo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Sunday 5 July: Defensores Unidos v Argentino de Merlo in the Primera B Metropolitana, played at Estadio Gigante de Villa Fox. In the table, Defensores Unidos are 19th, lower half, on 46 points after 42 matches; Argentino de Merlo are 13th (lower half) with 50.
Current form
Defensores Unidos, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Talleres Remedios, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Argentino de Merlo, last 5: WWDDW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Comunicaciones, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Argentino de Merlo, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Defensores Unidos.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Defensores Unidos 1.1 xG, Argentino de Merlo 0.8 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 69%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Defensores Unidos 38%, draw 30%, Argentino de Merlo 32%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Defensores Unidos 1–0 Argentino de Merlo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Defensores Unidos38%fair 2.66 · @2.70
Draw30%fair 3.33 · @2.80
Argentino de Merlo32%fair 3.09 · @2.70
1.91Expected goals
1.06Defensores Unidos xG
0.85Argentino de Merlo xG
49%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
0–015%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Defensores Unidos 1.1 – 0.8 Argentino de Merlo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Defensores Unidos
Argentino de Merlo
Attack vs Primera B Metropolitana average
-16%
+2%
Goals conceded vs average
-13%
+16%
Our expected goals here
1.14
0.77
Our own ratings from every Primera B Metropolitana result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Defensores Unidos to win✗
38%
2.66
2.70
Double chance
Either team to win✗
70%
1.43
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
1.53
Draw no bet
Defensores Unidos (draw no bet)
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
Argentino de Merlo +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.65
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.05
–
First team to score
Defensores Unidos to score first✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
23%
4.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.36
–
Recent results
Defensores Unidos – last 6
LLDLWW
27 Jun
@ Talleres Remedios
0–1
L
20 Jun
@ Deportivo Laferrere
0–1
L
13 Jun
vs Brown DE Adrogue
1–1
D
6 Jun
@ Deportivo Armenio
0–3
L
31 May
vs Flandria
1–0
W
27 May
vs Villa Dalmine
2–1
W
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Argentino de Merlo – last 6
WWDDWL
28 Jun
vs Comunicaciones
3–2
W
21 Jun
vs Dock Sud
3–1
W
14 Jun
@ Deportivo Merlo
2–2
D
6 Jun
vs Deportivo Camioneros
0–0
D
31 May
@ Sportivo Italiano
2–0
W
26 May
@ Deportivo Armenio
0–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Defensores Unidos and Argentino de Merlo.
What is the prediction for Defensores Unidos vs Argentino de Merlo?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Defensores Unidos vs Argentino de Merlo?
On our numbers Defensores Unidos have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Argentino de Merlo 32%.
How many goals will there be in Defensores Unidos vs Argentino de Merlo?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Defensores Unidos vs Argentino de Merlo?
Our predicted score is Defensores Unidos 1–0 Argentino de Merlo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Defensores Unidos vs Argentino de Merlo?
Defensores Unidos vs Argentino de Merlo (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Sunday 5 July 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Gigante de Villa Fox.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
