San Martín Burzaco 41%Draw 28%Liniers 31%Expected goals 1.16 – 0.97
65%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 52% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSan Martín Burzaco to win ✗41% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.93
San Martín Burzaco vs Liniers: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Liniers travel to face San Martín Burzaco on Sunday 5 July in the Primera B Metropolitana, with Francisco Boga Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, San Martín Burzaco are 12th, lower half, on 51 points after 42 matches; Liniers are 16th (lower half) with 48. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
San Martín Burzaco, last 5: DDLLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Real Pilar, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Liniers, last 5: DDLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Villa San Carlos, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Feb 2026) it ended Liniers 0–0 San Martín Burzaco.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give San Martín Burzaco 1.2 xG, Liniers 1.0 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – San Martín Burzaco 41%, draw 28%, Liniers 31%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.15.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: San Martín Burzaco 1–0 Liniers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
San Martín Burzaco41%fair 2.46 · @2.20
Draw28%fair 3.56 · @2.90
Liniers31%fair 3.19 · @3.35
2.13Expected goals
1.16San Martín Burzaco xG
0.97Liniers xG
52%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–112%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: San Martín Burzaco 1.2 – 1.0 Liniers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
San Martín Burzaco
Liniers
Attack vs Primera B Metropolitana average
+4%
-2%
Goals conceded vs average
+32%
+9%
Our expected goals here
1.32
1.12
Our own ratings from every Primera B Metropolitana result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for San Martín Burzaco vs Liniers?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win San Martín Burzaco vs Liniers?
On our numbers San Martín Burzaco have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Liniers 31%.
How many goals will there be in San Martín Burzaco vs Liniers?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Martín Burzaco vs Liniers?
Our predicted score is San Martín Burzaco 1–0 Liniers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is San Martín Burzaco vs Liniers?
San Martín Burzaco vs Liniers (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Sunday 5 July 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Francisco Boga Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
