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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Brown DE Adrogue v UAI Urquiza: numbers & prediction

Primera B Metropolitana · Argentina · Estadio Lorenzo Arandilla
1–1
FT
Brown DE Adrogue 48%Draw 24%UAI Urquiza 28% Expected goals 1.07 – 0.71
70%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.44 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.42Odds

Picks by market

ResultBrown DE Adrogue to win ✗48% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.52

Brown DE Adrogue vs UAI Urquiza: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Brown DE Adrogue welcome UAI Urquiza to Estadio Lorenzo Arandilla for a Primera B Metropolitana fixture on Friday 21 August (23:00 WAT). In the table, Brown DE Adrogue are 20th, in the drop zone, on 46 points after 42 matches; UAI Urquiza are 21st (in the drop zone) with 45. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Brown DE Adrogue, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Villa Dalmine, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

UAI Urquiza, last 5: LDDDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Deportivo Armenio, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Momentum favours Brown DE Adrogue, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for UAI Urquiza.

Head to head

When they last met (10 Apr 2026) it ended UAI Urquiza 0–1 Brown DE Adrogue.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Brown DE Adrogue 1.1 xG, UAI Urquiza 0.7 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 70%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Brown DE Adrogue 48%, draw 24%, UAI Urquiza 28%.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.55.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (70%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Brown DE Adrogue 1–0 UAI Urquiza. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Brown DE Adrogue48%fair 2.09 · @2.05
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.00
UAI Urquiza28%fair 3.57 · @3.55
1.78Expected goals
1.07Brown DE Adrogue xG
0.71UAI Urquiza xG
49%Both score
30%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–018%
0–017%
1–113%
0–112%
2–010%
2–17%

From our goals model: Brown DE Adrogue 1.1 – 0.7 UAI Urquiza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBrown DE Adrogue to win ✗48%2.092.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76%1.321.30
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗51%1.961.55
Draw no betBrown DE Adrogue (draw no bet)63%1.58–
Asian handicapUAI Urquiza +1 (Asian handicap) ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓57%1.761.55
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70%1.441.42
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓97%1.04–
First team to scoreBrown DE Adrogue to score first50%2.00–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓53%1.90–
Half-time / full-timeHT Brown DE Adrogue / FT Brown DE Adrogue ✗25%4.06–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18%5.52–

Recent results

Brown DE Adrogue – last 6

LWDWLL
15 Aug@ Villa Dalmine0–1L
8 Augvs Excursionistas1–0W
31 Jul@ Arsenal Sarandi1–1D
25 Julvs Argentino de Merlo1–0W
18 Jul@ Talleres Remedios0–1L
14 Julvs Deportivo Laferrere0–1L
0.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

UAI Urquiza – last 6

LDDDLD
16 Augvs Deportivo Armenio0–1L
8 Aug@ Flandria1–1D
1 Augvs Argentino Quilmes0–0D
25 Jul@ Defensores Unidos1–1D
18 Julvs Comunicaciones0–2L
14 Jul@ Dock Sud0–0D
0.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

10 Apr 2026UAI Urquiza v Brown DE Adrogue0–1
Brown DE Adrogue vs UAI Urquiza head-to-head page →

Primera B Metropolitana table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Excursionistas422499+3681
2Arsenal Sarandi4221147+2877
3Sportivo Italiano42201210+1572
4Talleres Remedios42201111+1971
5Deportivo Camioneros42191310+1570
6Villa Dalmine42181410+1268
7Real Pilar42181212+466
8Deportivo Armenio42171213+363
9Comunicaciones42151512+560
10Deportivo Laferrere42151413-259
11Villa San Carlos42121515-551
12San Martín Burzaco42121515-651
13Argentino de Merlo42131118-650
14Flandria42131019-1049
15Deportivo Merlo42111615-1549
16Liniers42111516-748
17Argentino Quilmes42101715-847
18Dock Sud42111417-947
19Defensores Unidos42101616-646
20Brown DE Adrogue42101616-1246
21UAI Urquiza4282113-1045
22Ituzaingó4211427-4117

More Primera B Metropolitana predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Brown DE Adrogue vs UAI Urquiza?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.

Who will win Brown DE Adrogue vs UAI Urquiza?

On our numbers Brown DE Adrogue have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 24% and UAI Urquiza 28%.

How many goals will there be in Brown DE Adrogue vs UAI Urquiza?

We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Brown DE Adrogue vs UAI Urquiza?

Our predicted score is Brown DE Adrogue 1–0 UAI Urquiza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.

When is Brown DE Adrogue vs UAI Urquiza?

Brown DE Adrogue vs UAI Urquiza (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Lorenzo Arandilla.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.