Deportivo Laferrere v Villa Dalmine Prediction & Expected Goals (21 Aug) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultVilla Dalmine to win ✓42% · @2.55

Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.10

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 13.21

Deportivo Laferrere vs Villa Dalmine: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Villa Dalmine travel to face Deportivo Laferrere on Friday 21 August in the Primera B Metropolitana, with Ciudad de Laferrere Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 23:00 WAT. In the table, Deportivo Laferrere are 10th, upper half, on 59 points after 42 matches; Villa Dalmine are 6th (upper half) with 68.

Current form

Deportivo Laferrere, last 5: LDWLW Their latest outing: 3–5 defeat to Excursionistas, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Villa Dalmine, last 5: WLWDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Brown DE Adrogue, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Laferrere 0.9 xG, Villa Dalmine 1.1 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Laferrere 33%, draw 25%, Villa Dalmine 42%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Villa Dalmine to win @2.55 – the bookmaker implies 39%, our ratings say 42%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Laferrere 0–1 Villa Dalmine. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Deportivo Laferrere33%fair 3.03 · @2.75

Draw25%fair 4.07 · @2.90

Villa Dalmine42%fair 2.36 · @2.55

2.07Expected goals

0.95Deportivo Laferrere xG

1.13Villa Dalmine xG

51%Both score

34%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–114%

1–113%

0–013%

1–012%

0–28%

1–28%

From our goals model: Deportivo Laferrere 0.9 – 1.1 Villa Dalmine expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Villa Dalmine to win ✓	42%	2.36	2.55 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	75%	1.33	1.30
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	51%	1.95	2.10 ▲
Draw no bet	Villa Dalmine (draw no bet) ✓	56%	1.78	–
Asian handicap	Deportivo Laferrere +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	60%	1.66	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	61%	1.64	1.55
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	66%	1.52	1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	84%	1.19	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	94%	1.06	–
First team to score	Villa Dalmine to score first ✓	48%	2.10	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	49%	2.05	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Villa Dalmine / FT Villa Dalmine ✓	22%	4.46	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	8%	13.21	–

Deportivo Laferrere – last 6

LDWLWW

15 Aug	@ Excursionistas	3–5	L
9 Aug	vs Arsenal Sarandi	1–1	D
1 Aug	@ Argentino de Merlo	3–1	W
26 Jul	vs Talleres Remedios	0–2	L
18 Jul	vs Ituzaingó	2–0	W
14 Jul	@ Brown DE Adrogue	1–0	W

1.7Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

50%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Villa Dalmine – last 6

WLWDDD

15 Aug	vs Brown DE Adrogue	1–0	W
8 Aug	@ Deportivo Armenio	0–1	L
1 Aug	vs Flandria	2–1	W
25 Jul	@ Argentino Quilmes	0–0	D
18 Jul	vs Defensores Unidos	0–0	D
14 Jul	@ Comunicaciones	0–0	D

0.5Scored / game

0.3Conceded / game

17%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Excursionistas	42	24	9	9	+36	81
2	Arsenal Sarandi	42	21	14	7	+28	77
3	Sportivo Italiano	42	20	12	10	+15	72
4	Talleres Remedios	42	20	11	11	+19	71
5	Deportivo Camioneros	42	19	13	10	+15	70
6	Villa Dalmine	42	18	14	10	+12	68
7	Real Pilar	42	18	12	12	+4	66
8	Deportivo Armenio	42	17	12	13	+3	63
9	Comunicaciones	42	15	15	12	+5	60
10	Deportivo Laferrere	42	15	14	13	-2	59
11	Villa San Carlos	42	12	15	15	-5	51
12	San Martín Burzaco	42	12	15	15	-6	51
13	Argentino de Merlo	42	13	11	18	-6	50
14	Flandria	42	13	10	19	-10	49
15	Deportivo Merlo	42	11	16	15	-15	49
16	Liniers	42	11	15	16	-7	48
17	Argentino Quilmes	42	10	17	15	-8	47
18	Dock Sud	42	11	14	17	-9	47
19	Defensores Unidos	42	10	16	16	-6	46
20	Brown DE Adrogue	42	10	16	16	-12	46
21	UAI Urquiza	42	8	21	13	-10	45
22	Ituzaingó	42	1	14	27	-41	17

Team

Pts

+36

+28

+15

+19

+15

+12

-2

-5

-6

-6

-10

-15

-7

-8

-9

-6

-12

-10

-41

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Deportivo Laferrere vs Villa Dalmine?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.

Who will win Deportivo Laferrere vs Villa Dalmine?

On our numbers Deportivo Laferrere have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Villa Dalmine 42%.

How many goals will there be in Deportivo Laferrere vs Villa Dalmine?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Deportivo Laferrere vs Villa Dalmine?

Our predicted score is Deportivo Laferrere 0–1 Villa Dalmine, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Deportivo Laferrere vs Villa Dalmine?

Deportivo Laferrere vs Villa Dalmine (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Ciudad de Laferrere Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Deportivo Laferrere v Villa Dalmine: numbers & prediction