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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Deportivo Merlo v Dock Sud: numbers & prediction

Primera B Metropolitana · Argentina · Jose Manuel Moreno Stadium
1–2
FT
Deportivo Merlo 40%Draw 24%Dock Sud 36% Expected goals 1.18 – 1.09
65%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.45Odds

Picks by market

ResultDeportivo Merlo to win ✗40% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.76

Deportivo Merlo vs Dock Sud: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

23:00 WAT, Wednesday 26 August: Deportivo Merlo v Dock Sud in the Primera B Metropolitana, played at Jose Manuel Moreno Stadium. In the table, Deportivo Merlo are 15th, lower half, on 49 points after 42 matches; Dock Sud are 18th (lower half) with 47. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Deportivo Merlo, last 5: DDLDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Ituzaingó, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Dock Sud, last 5: DLWDD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Deportivo Camioneros, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Dock Sud, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Deportivo Merlo.

Head to head

When they last met (16 Apr 2026) it ended Dock Sud 1–1 Deportivo Merlo.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Merlo 1.2 xG, Dock Sud 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Merlo 40%, draw 24%, Dock Sud 36%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.95.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (65%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Merlo 1–1 Dock Sud. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Deportivo Merlo40%fair 2.50 · @2.50
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @2.95
Dock Sud36%fair 2.80 · @2.75
2.27Expected goals
1.18Deportivo Merlo xG
1.09Dock Sud xG
54%Both score
39%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
1–27%

From our goals model: Deportivo Merlo 1.2 – 1.1 Dock Sud expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDeportivo Merlo to win ✗40%2.502.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.861.95 ▲
Draw no betDeportivo Merlo (draw no bet) ✗53%1.89–
Asian handicapDock Sud +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓65%1.541.45
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗61%1.641.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80%1.251.17
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.09–
First team to scoreDeportivo Merlo to score first47%2.15–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓47%2.15–
Half-time / full-timeHT Deportivo Merlo / FT Deportivo Merlo ✗21%4.65–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.76–

Recent results

Deportivo Merlo – last 6

DDLDLD
22 Aug@ Ituzaingó0–0D
15 Aug@ Deportivo Camioneros0–0D
9 Augvs Sportivo Italiano0–4L
2 Aug@ San Martín Burzaco1–1D
25 Julvs Villa San Carlos1–2L
18 Jul@ Liniers1–1D
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Dock Sud – last 6

DLWDDW
23 Augvs Deportivo Camioneros2–2D
15 Aug@ Sportivo Italiano0–4L
9 Augvs San Martín Burzaco4–1W
2 Aug@ Villa San Carlos1–1D
25 Julvs Liniers1–1D
18 Jul@ Real Pilar1–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

16 Apr 2026Dock Sud v Deportivo Merlo1–1
Deportivo Merlo vs Dock Sud head-to-head page →

Primera B Metropolitana table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Excursionistas422499+3681
2Arsenal Sarandi4221147+2877
3Sportivo Italiano42201210+1572
4Talleres Remedios42201111+1971
5Deportivo Camioneros42191310+1570
6Villa Dalmine42181410+1268
7Real Pilar42181212+466
8Deportivo Armenio42171213+363
9Comunicaciones42151512+560
10Deportivo Laferrere42151413-259
11Villa San Carlos42121515-551
12San Martín Burzaco42121515-651
13Argentino de Merlo42131118-650
14Flandria42131019-1049
15Deportivo Merlo42111615-1549
16Liniers42111516-748
17Argentino Quilmes42101715-847
18Dock Sud42111417-947
19Defensores Unidos42101616-646
20Brown DE Adrogue42101616-1246
21UAI Urquiza4282113-1045
22Ituzaingó4211427-4117

More Primera B Metropolitana predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Deportivo Merlo vs Dock Sud?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.

Who will win Deportivo Merlo vs Dock Sud?

On our numbers Deportivo Merlo have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Dock Sud 36%.

How many goals will there be in Deportivo Merlo vs Dock Sud?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Deportivo Merlo vs Dock Sud?

Our predicted score is Deportivo Merlo 1–1 Dock Sud, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Deportivo Merlo vs Dock Sud?

Deportivo Merlo vs Dock Sud (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Wednesday 26 August 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Jose Manuel Moreno Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.