Excursionistas 62%Draw 25%Argentino de Merlo 14%Expected goals 1.57 – 0.59
64%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
1
Value bet: Excursionistas to win @ 1.77 – our chance 62% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultExcursionistas to win ✓62% · @1.77
Double chanceExcursionistas or draw ✓86% · @1.13
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.51
Excursionistas vs Argentino de Merlo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Argentino de Merlo travel to face Excursionistas on Wednesday 26 August in the Primera B Metropolitana, with Excursionistas Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 00:00 WAT. In the table, Excursionistas are 1st, leading the league, on 81 points after 42 matches; Argentino de Merlo are 13th (lower half) with 50. There are 31 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Excursionistas, last 5: WWLWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Talleres Remedios, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Argentino de Merlo, last 5: DDWLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Arsenal Sarandi, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Excursionistas, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Argentino de Merlo.
Head to head
When they last met (14 Apr 2026) it ended Argentino de Merlo 1–1 Excursionistas.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Excursionistas 1.6 xG, Argentino de Merlo 0.6 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Excursionistas 62%, draw 25%, Argentino de Merlo 14%.
Lower-risk option: Excursionistas or draw (86%) at 1.13.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: Excursionistas to win @1.77 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (64%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Excursionistas 2–0 Argentino de Merlo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Excursionistas62%fair 1.63 · @1.77
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @3.10
Argentino de Merlo14%fair 7.24 · @4.60
2.16Expected goals
1.57Excursionistas xG
0.59Argentino de Merlo xG
47%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–018%
2–014%
0–012%
1–111%
2–18%
3–07%
From our goals model: Excursionistas 1.6 – 0.6 Argentino de Merlo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Excursionistas vs Argentino de Merlo?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Excursionistas vs Argentino de Merlo?
On our numbers Excursionistas have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Argentino de Merlo 14%.
How many goals will there be in Excursionistas vs Argentino de Merlo?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Excursionistas vs Argentino de Merlo?
Our predicted score is Excursionistas 2–0 Argentino de Merlo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Excursionistas vs Argentino de Merlo?
Excursionistas vs Argentino de Merlo (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Wednesday 26 August 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Excursionistas Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
