UAI Urquiza v Argentino de Merlo Prediction & Expected Goals (6 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultArgentino de Merlo to win ✗41% · @2.70

Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.40

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.60

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28

Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗18% · fair 5.67

UAI Urquiza vs Argentino de Merlo: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:00 WAT, Sunday 6 September: UAI Urquiza v Argentino de Merlo in the Primera B Metropolitana, played at Monumental de Villa Lynch. In the table, UAI Urquiza are 21st, in the drop zone, on 45 points after 42 matches; Argentino de Merlo are 13th (lower half) with 50.

Current form

UAI Urquiza, last 5: LLDLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Talleres Remedios, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Argentino de Merlo, last 5: DLDDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Villa Dalmine, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Argentino de Merlo, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.5 for UAI Urquiza.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give UAI Urquiza 0.7 xG, Argentino de Merlo 0.9 xG – a total near 1.6. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 78%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – UAI Urquiza 32%, draw 28%, Argentino de Merlo 41%.
GG/NG: NG (55%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: Argentino de Merlo to win @2.70 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 41%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (55%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: UAI Urquiza 0–0 Argentino de Merlo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

UAI Urquiza32%fair 3.14 · @2.80

Draw28%fair 3.63 · @2.50

Argentino de Merlo41%fair 2.46 · @2.70

1.61Expected goals

0.73UAI Urquiza xG

0.88Argentino de Merlo xG

45%Both score

22%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–020%

0–118%

1–015%

1–113%

0–28%

1–26%

From our goals model: UAI Urquiza 0.7 – 0.9 Argentino de Merlo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Argentino de Merlo to win ✗	41%	2.46	2.70 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	72%	1.38	1.40
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✓	55%	1.83	1.60
Draw no bet	Argentino de Merlo (draw no bet) ✗	56%	1.78	–
Asian handicap	UAI Urquiza +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	63%	1.58	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Under 1.5 goals ✗	52%	1.92	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	78%	1.28	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	92%	1.09	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	98%	1.02	–
First team to score	Argentino de Merlo to score first ✗	44%	2.28	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	56%	1.80	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Draw / FT Draw ✗	27%	3.66	–
Correct score	Correct score 0–1 ✗	18%	5.67	–

UAI Urquiza – last 6

LLDLDD

29 Aug	@ Talleres Remedios	0–1	L
25 Aug	vs Deportivo Laferrere	0–2	L
21 Aug	@ Brown DE Adrogue	1–1	D
16 Aug	vs Deportivo Armenio	0–1	L
8 Aug	@ Flandria	1–1	D
1 Aug	vs Argentino Quilmes	0–0	D

0.3Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

33%Both scored

0%Over 2.5

Argentino de Merlo – last 6

DLDDWL

30 Aug	vs Villa Dalmine	0–0	D
26 Aug	@ Excursionistas	0–2	L
22 Aug	vs Arsenal Sarandi	0–0	D
15 Aug	vs Ituzaingó	1–1	D
8 Aug	@ Talleres Remedios	2–1	W
1 Aug	vs Deportivo Laferrere	1–3	L

0.7Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

50%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Excursionistas	42	24	9	9	+36	81
2	Arsenal Sarandi	42	21	14	7	+28	77
3	Sportivo Italiano	42	20	12	10	+15	72
4	Talleres Remedios	42	20	11	11	+19	71
5	Deportivo Camioneros	42	19	13	10	+15	70
6	Villa Dalmine	42	18	14	10	+12	68
7	Real Pilar	42	18	12	12	+4	66
8	Deportivo Armenio	42	17	12	13	+3	63
9	Comunicaciones	42	15	15	12	+5	60
10	Deportivo Laferrere	42	15	14	13	-2	59
11	Villa San Carlos	42	12	15	15	-5	51
12	San Martín Burzaco	42	12	15	15	-6	51
13	Argentino de Merlo	42	13	11	18	-6	50
14	Flandria	42	13	10	19	-10	49
15	Deportivo Merlo	42	11	16	15	-15	49
16	Liniers	42	11	15	16	-7	48
17	Argentino Quilmes	42	10	17	15	-8	47
18	Dock Sud	42	11	14	17	-9	47
19	Defensores Unidos	42	10	16	16	-6	46
20	Brown DE Adrogue	42	10	16	16	-12	46
21	UAI Urquiza	42	8	21	13	-10	45
22	Ituzaingó	42	1	14	27	-41	17

Team

Pts

+36

+28

+15

+19

+15

+12

-2

-5

-6

-6

-10

-15

-7

-8

-9

-6

-12

-10

-41

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for UAI Urquiza vs Argentino de Merlo?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win UAI Urquiza vs Argentino de Merlo?

On our numbers UAI Urquiza have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Argentino de Merlo 41%.

How many goals will there be in UAI Urquiza vs Argentino de Merlo?

We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 22% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for UAI Urquiza vs Argentino de Merlo?

Our predicted score is UAI Urquiza 0–0 Argentino de Merlo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.

When is UAI Urquiza vs Argentino de Merlo?

UAI Urquiza vs Argentino de Merlo (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Monumental de Villa Lynch.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

UAI Urquiza v Argentino de Merlo: numbers & prediction