Villa San Carlos v Brown DE Adrogue Prediction & Expected Goals (6 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultVilla San Carlos to win ✗43% · @2.30

Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.40

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.10

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · fair 1.44

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.87

Villa San Carlos vs Brown DE Adrogue: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:00 WAT, Sunday 6 September: Villa San Carlos v Brown DE Adrogue in the Primera B Metropolitana, played at Genacio Salice Stadium. In the table, Villa San Carlos are 11th, upper half, on 51 points after 42 matches; Brown DE Adrogue are 20th (in the drop zone) with 46.

Current form

Villa San Carlos, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Deportivo Armenio, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Brown DE Adrogue, last 5: DLDLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Liniers, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Villa San Carlos, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for Brown DE Adrogue.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Villa San Carlos 1.1 xG, Brown DE Adrogue 0.9 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 69%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Villa San Carlos 43%, draw 26%, Brown DE Adrogue 31%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.10.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (51%, odds 2.10 – longer than our fair 1.94, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Villa San Carlos 1–1 Brown DE Adrogue. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Villa San Carlos43%fair 2.34 · @2.30

Draw26%fair 3.81 · @2.62

Brown DE Adrogue31%fair 3.22 · @3.25

1.94Expected goals

1.08Villa San Carlos xG

0.86Brown DE Adrogue xG

51%Both score

31%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%

0–014%

1–113%

0–112%

2–08%

2–17%

From our goals model: Villa San Carlos 1.1 – 0.9 Brown DE Adrogue expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Villa San Carlos to win ✗	43%	2.34	2.30
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	74%	1.36	1.40
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	51%	1.94	2.10 ▲
Draw no bet	Villa San Carlos (draw no bet)	58%	1.73	–
Asian handicap	Brown DE Adrogue +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	79%	1.27	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	58%	1.73	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	69%	1.44	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	87%	1.15	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	95%	1.05	–
First team to score	Villa San Carlos to score first ✗	48%	2.10	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	51%	1.98	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Villa San Carlos / FT Villa San Carlos ✗	23%	4.42	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	7%	13.87	–

Villa San Carlos – last 6

LWWWWD

30 Aug	@ Deportivo Armenio	0–1	L
25 Aug	vs Flandria	3–2	W
22 Aug	@ Argentino Quilmes	2–0	W
16 Aug	vs Defensores Unidos	1–0	W
7 Aug	@ Comunicaciones	1–0	W
2 Aug	vs Dock Sud	1–1	D

1.3Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

33%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

Brown DE Adrogue – last 6

DLDLWD

29 Aug	vs Liniers	1–1	D
25 Aug	@ Real Pilar	0–2	L
21 Aug	vs UAI Urquiza	1–1	D
15 Aug	@ Villa Dalmine	0–1	L
8 Aug	vs Excursionistas	1–0	W
31 Jul	@ Arsenal Sarandi	1–1	D

0.7Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

50%Both scored

0%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Excursionistas	42	24	9	9	+36	81
2	Arsenal Sarandi	42	21	14	7	+28	77
3	Sportivo Italiano	42	20	12	10	+15	72
4	Talleres Remedios	42	20	11	11	+19	71
5	Deportivo Camioneros	42	19	13	10	+15	70
6	Villa Dalmine	42	18	14	10	+12	68
7	Real Pilar	42	18	12	12	+4	66
8	Deportivo Armenio	42	17	12	13	+3	63
9	Comunicaciones	42	15	15	12	+5	60
10	Deportivo Laferrere	42	15	14	13	-2	59
11	Villa San Carlos	42	12	15	15	-5	51
12	San Martín Burzaco	42	12	15	15	-6	51
13	Argentino de Merlo	42	13	11	18	-6	50
14	Flandria	42	13	10	19	-10	49
15	Deportivo Merlo	42	11	16	15	-15	49
16	Liniers	42	11	15	16	-7	48
17	Argentino Quilmes	42	10	17	15	-8	47
18	Dock Sud	42	11	14	17	-9	47
19	Defensores Unidos	42	10	16	16	-6	46
20	Brown DE Adrogue	42	10	16	16	-12	46
21	UAI Urquiza	42	8	21	13	-10	45
22	Ituzaingó	42	1	14	27	-41	17

Team

Pts

+36

+28

+15

+19

+15

+12

-2

-5

-6

-6

-10

-15

-7

-8

-9

-6

-12

-10

-41

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Villa San Carlos vs Brown DE Adrogue?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.10.

Who will win Villa San Carlos vs Brown DE Adrogue?

On our numbers Villa San Carlos have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Brown DE Adrogue 31%.

How many goals will there be in Villa San Carlos vs Brown DE Adrogue?

We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Villa San Carlos vs Brown DE Adrogue?

Our predicted score is Villa San Carlos 1–1 Brown DE Adrogue, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.

When is Villa San Carlos vs Brown DE Adrogue?

Villa San Carlos vs Brown DE Adrogue (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Genacio Salice Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Villa San Carlos v Brown DE Adrogue: numbers & prediction