Deportivo Merlo v Flandria Prediction & Expected Goals (20 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultFlandria to win ✗40% · @2.40

Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @2.62

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗70% · @1.30

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.86

Deportivo Merlo vs Flandria: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Deportivo Merlo welcome Flandria to Jose Manuel Moreno Stadium for a Primera B Metropolitana fixture on Sunday 20 September (21:00 WAT). In the table, Deportivo Merlo are 15th, lower half, on 49 points after 42 matches; Flandria are 14th (lower half) with 49. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Deportivo Merlo, last 5: LDLLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Argentino Quilmes, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Flandria, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Deportivo Camioneros, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Flandria, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.5 for Deportivo Merlo.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Merlo 1.0 xG, Flandria 1.1 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 70%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Merlo 35%, draw 25%, Flandria 40%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.62.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.62 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 50%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (70%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Merlo 0–1 Flandria. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Deportivo Merlo35%fair 2.88 · @2.88

Draw25%fair 4.01 · @2.75

Flandria40%fair 2.48 · @2.40

2.03Expected goals

0.96Deportivo Merlo xG

1.07Flandria xG

50%Both score

30%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–114%

1–113%

0–013%

1–013%

0–27%

1–27%

From our goals model: Deportivo Merlo 1.0 – 1.1 Flandria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Flandria to win ✗	40%	2.48	2.40
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	75%	1.33	1.36
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	50%	1.99	2.62 ▲
Draw no bet	Flandria (draw no bet) ✗	54%	1.86	–
Asian handicap	Deportivo Merlo +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	62%	1.60	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	57%	1.76	1.73
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	70%	1.44	1.30
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	86%	1.16	1.08
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	93%	1.08	1.02
First team to score	Flandria to score first ✗	46%	2.19	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	49%	2.02	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Draw / FT Draw ✗	21%	4.68	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	7%	13.86	–

Deportivo Merlo – last 6

LDLLDD

13 Sep	@ Argentino Quilmes	0–1	L
5 Sep	vs Defensores Unidos	0–0	D
31 Aug	@ Comunicaciones	0–1	L
26 Aug	vs Dock Sud	1–2	L
22 Aug	@ Ituzaingó	0–0	D
15 Aug	@ Deportivo Camioneros	0–0	D

0.2Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

17%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

Flandria – last 6

WLWLWD

13 Sep	vs Deportivo Camioneros	2–1	W
5 Sep	@ Sportivo Italiano	1–3	L
30 Aug	vs San Martín Burzaco	2–0	W
25 Aug	@ Villa San Carlos	2–3	L
22 Aug	vs Liniers	1–0	W
15 Aug	@ Real Pilar	0–0	D

1.3Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Excursionistas	42	24	9	9	+36	81
2	Arsenal Sarandi	42	21	14	7	+28	77
3	Sportivo Italiano	42	20	12	10	+15	72
4	Talleres Remedios	42	20	11	11	+19	71
5	Deportivo Camioneros	42	19	13	10	+15	70
6	Villa Dalmine	42	18	14	10	+12	68
7	Real Pilar	42	18	12	12	+4	66
8	Deportivo Armenio	42	17	12	13	+3	63
9	Comunicaciones	42	15	15	12	+5	60
10	Deportivo Laferrere	42	15	14	13	-2	59
11	Villa San Carlos	42	12	15	15	-5	51
12	San Martín Burzaco	42	12	15	15	-6	51
13	Argentino de Merlo	42	13	11	18	-6	50
14	Flandria	42	13	10	19	-10	49
15	Deportivo Merlo	42	11	16	15	-15	49
16	Liniers	42	11	15	16	-7	48
17	Argentino Quilmes	42	10	17	15	-8	47
18	Dock Sud	42	11	14	17	-9	47
19	Defensores Unidos	42	10	16	16	-6	46
20	Brown DE Adrogue	42	10	16	16	-12	46
21	UAI Urquiza	42	8	21	13	-10	45
22	Ituzaingó	42	1	14	27	-41	17

Team

Pts

+36

+28

+15

+19

+15

+12

-2

-5

-6

-6

-10

-15

-7

-8

-9

-6

-12

-10

-41

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Deportivo Merlo vs Flandria?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Deportivo Merlo vs Flandria?

On our numbers Deportivo Merlo have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Flandria 40%.

How many goals will there be in Deportivo Merlo vs Flandria?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Deportivo Merlo vs Flandria?

Our predicted score is Deportivo Merlo 0–1 Flandria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Deportivo Merlo vs Flandria?

Deportivo Merlo vs Flandria (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Jose Manuel Moreno Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Deportivo Merlo v Flandria: numbers & prediction