Liniers v Argentino de Merlo Prediction & Expected Goals (20 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultLiniers to win ✗42% · @2.15

Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.40

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.57

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗72% · fair 1.39

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.23

Liniers vs Argentino de Merlo: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Argentino de Merlo travel to face Liniers on Sunday 20 September in the Primera B Metropolitana, with Juan Antonio Arias Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Liniers are 16th, lower half, on 48 points after 42 matches; Argentino de Merlo are 13th (lower half) with 50. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Liniers, last 5: WDDWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Talleres Remedios, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Argentino de Merlo, last 5: LLDLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Real Pilar, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.

Momentum favours Liniers, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.5 for Argentino de Merlo.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Liniers 1.0 xG, Argentino de Merlo 0.8 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 72%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Liniers 42%, draw 26%, Argentino de Merlo 32%.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Argentino de Merlo to win @3.60 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 32%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (53%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Liniers 1–0 Argentino de Merlo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Liniers42%fair 2.39 · @2.15

Draw26%fair 3.85 · @2.70

Argentino de Merlo32%fair 3.11 · @3.60

1.84Expected goals

1.01Liniers xG

0.83Argentino de Merlo xG

47%Both score

28%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%

0–016%

1–113%

0–113%

2–08%

2–17%

From our goals model: Liniers 1.0 – 0.8 Argentino de Merlo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Liniers to win ✗	42%	2.39	2.15
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	74%	1.35	1.40
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✗	53%	1.90	1.57
Draw no bet	Liniers (draw no bet) ✗	57%	1.77	–
Asian handicap	Argentino de Merlo +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	61%	1.63	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	55%	1.82	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	72%	1.39	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	88%	1.13	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	96%	1.04	–
First team to score	Liniers to score first	46%	2.17	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	52%	1.92	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Draw / FT Draw ✗	24%	4.21	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	16%	6.23	–

Liniers – last 6

WDDWLL

12 Sep	@ Talleres Remedios	2–0	W
6 Sep	vs Deportivo Laferrere	2–2	D
29 Aug	@ Brown DE Adrogue	1–1	D
26 Aug	vs Deportivo Armenio	3–1	W
22 Aug	@ Flandria	0–1	L
16 Aug	vs Argentino Quilmes	0–1	L

1.3Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

50%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Argentino de Merlo – last 6

LLDLDD

12 Sep	vs Real Pilar	0–1	L
6 Sep	@ UAI Urquiza	0–2	L
30 Aug	vs Villa Dalmine	0–0	D
26 Aug	@ Excursionistas	0–2	L
22 Aug	vs Arsenal Sarandi	0–0	D
15 Aug	vs Ituzaingó	1–1	D

0.2Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

17%Both scored

0%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Excursionistas	42	24	9	9	+36	81
2	Arsenal Sarandi	42	21	14	7	+28	77
3	Sportivo Italiano	42	20	12	10	+15	72
4	Talleres Remedios	42	20	11	11	+19	71
5	Deportivo Camioneros	42	19	13	10	+15	70
6	Villa Dalmine	42	18	14	10	+12	68
7	Real Pilar	42	18	12	12	+4	66
8	Deportivo Armenio	42	17	12	13	+3	63
9	Comunicaciones	42	15	15	12	+5	60
10	Deportivo Laferrere	42	15	14	13	-2	59
11	Villa San Carlos	42	12	15	15	-5	51
12	San Martín Burzaco	42	12	15	15	-6	51
13	Argentino de Merlo	42	13	11	18	-6	50
14	Flandria	42	13	10	19	-10	49
15	Deportivo Merlo	42	11	16	15	-15	49
16	Liniers	42	11	15	16	-7	48
17	Argentino Quilmes	42	10	17	15	-8	47
18	Dock Sud	42	11	14	17	-9	47
19	Defensores Unidos	42	10	16	16	-6	46
20	Brown DE Adrogue	42	10	16	16	-12	46
21	UAI Urquiza	42	8	21	13	-10	45
22	Ituzaingó	42	1	14	27	-41	17

Team

Pts

+36

+28

+15

+19

+15

+12

-2

-5

-6

-6

-10

-15

-7

-8

-9

-6

-12

-10

-41

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Liniers vs Argentino de Merlo?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Liniers vs Argentino de Merlo?

On our numbers Liniers have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Argentino de Merlo 32%.

How many goals will there be in Liniers vs Argentino de Merlo?

We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Liniers vs Argentino de Merlo?

Our predicted score is Liniers 1–0 Argentino de Merlo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.

When is Liniers vs Argentino de Merlo?

Liniers vs Argentino de Merlo (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Juan Antonio Arias Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Liniers v Argentino de Merlo: numbers & prediction