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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Brown DE Adrogue v Dock Sud: numbers & prediction

Primera B Metropolitana · Argentina · Estadio Lorenzo Arandilla
1–0
FT
Brown DE Adrogue 46%Draw 24%Dock Sud 30% Expected goals 1.21 – 0.89
81%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultBrown DE Adrogue to win ✓46% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.53

Brown DE Adrogue vs Dock Sud: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Dock Sud travel to face Brown DE Adrogue on Monday 12 October in the Primera B Metropolitana, with Estadio Lorenzo Arandilla the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Brown DE Adrogue are 20th, in the drop zone, on 46 points after 42 matches; Dock Sud are 18th (lower half) with 47. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Brown DE Adrogue, last 5: DWDLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Deportivo Merlo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Dock Sud, last 5: LWDLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Deportivo Armenio, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (30 May 2026) it ended Dock Sud 0–1 Brown DE Adrogue.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Brown DE Adrogue 1.2 xG, Dock Sud 0.9 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Brown DE Adrogue 46%, draw 24%, Dock Sud 30%.
  • GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.00.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Brown DE Adrogue 1–0 Dock Sud. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Brown DE Adrogue46%fair 2.17 · @2.30
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @2.90
Dock Sud30%fair 3.36 · @2.90
2.10Expected goals
1.21Brown DE Adrogue xG
0.89Dock Sud xG
50%Both score
38%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%

From our goals model: Brown DE Adrogue 1.2 – 0.9 Dock Sud expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBrown DE Adrogue to win ✓46%2.172.30 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗50%1.992.00
Draw no betBrown DE Adrogue (draw no bet) ✓61%1.65–
Asian handicapDock Sud +1 (Asian handicap)75%1.34–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗64%1.561.40
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓62%1.611.60
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81%1.231.20
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.101.06
First team to scoreBrown DE Adrogue to score first ✓51%1.98–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓48%2.07–
Half-time / full-timeHT Brown DE Adrogue / FT Brown DE Adrogue ✗25%4.02–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.53–

Recent results

Brown DE Adrogue – last 6

DWDLDD
5 Oct@ Deportivo Merlo0–0D
26 Sepvs Deportivo Camioneros3–0W
19 Sep@ Sportivo Italiano0–0D
12 Sepvs San Martín Burzaco0–2L
6 Sep@ Villa San Carlos0–0D
29 Augvs Liniers1–1D
0.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Dock Sud – last 6

LWDLLW
4 Octvs Deportivo Armenio0–3L
28 Sep@ Flandria2–1W
20 Sepvs Argentino Quilmes0–0D
12 Sep@ Defensores Unidos0–3L
6 Sepvs Comunicaciones0–1L
29 Aug@ Ituzaingó2–0W
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

30 May 2026Dock Sud v Brown DE Adrogue0–1
Brown DE Adrogue vs Dock Sud head-to-head page →

Primera B Metropolitana table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Excursionistas422499+3681
2Arsenal Sarandi4221147+2877
3Sportivo Italiano42201210+1572
4Talleres Remedios42201111+1971
5Deportivo Camioneros42191310+1570
6Villa Dalmine42181410+1268
7Real Pilar42181212+466
8Deportivo Armenio42171213+363
9Comunicaciones42151512+560
10Deportivo Laferrere42151413-259
11Villa San Carlos42121515-551
12San Martín Burzaco42121515-651
13Argentino de Merlo42131118-650
14Flandria42131019-1049
15Deportivo Merlo42111615-1549
16Liniers42111516-748
17Argentino Quilmes42101715-847
18Dock Sud42111417-947
19Defensores Unidos42101616-646
20Brown DE Adrogue42101616-1246
21UAI Urquiza4282113-1045
22Ituzaingó4211427-4117

More Primera B Metropolitana predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Brown DE Adrogue vs Dock Sud?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Brown DE Adrogue vs Dock Sud?

On our numbers Brown DE Adrogue have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Dock Sud 30%.

How many goals will there be in Brown DE Adrogue vs Dock Sud?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Brown DE Adrogue vs Dock Sud?

Our predicted score is Brown DE Adrogue 1–0 Dock Sud, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Brown DE Adrogue vs Dock Sud?

Brown DE Adrogue vs Dock Sud (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Monday 12 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Lorenzo Arandilla.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.