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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

UAI Urquiza v Real Pilar: numbers & prediction

Primera B Metropolitana · Argentina · Monumental de Villa Lynch
1–0
FT
UAI Urquiza 29%Draw 26%Real Pilar 45% Expected goals 0.74 – 1.05
51%
Betarazi pick

Not both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.98 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓

3/10Rating
1.57Odds

Picks by market

ResultReal Pilar to win ✗45% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.40
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 5.72

UAI Urquiza vs Real Pilar: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Real Pilar travel to face UAI Urquiza on Monday 12 October in the Primera B Metropolitana, with Monumental de Villa Lynch the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, UAI Urquiza are 21st, in the drop zone, on 45 points after 42 matches; Real Pilar are 7th (upper half) with 66. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

UAI Urquiza, last 5: WDLLW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Ituzaingó, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Real Pilar, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Villa Dalmine, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Real Pilar, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for UAI Urquiza.

Head to head

When they last met (30 May 2026) it ended Real Pilar 2–1 UAI Urquiza.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give UAI Urquiza 0.7 xG, Real Pilar 1.0 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 73%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – UAI Urquiza 29%, draw 26%, Real Pilar 45%.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (51%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: UAI Urquiza 0–1 Real Pilar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

UAI Urquiza29%fair 3.51 · @3.50
Draw26%fair 3.80 · @2.62
Real Pilar45%fair 2.21 · @2.20
1.79Expected goals
0.74UAI Urquiza xG
1.05Real Pilar xG
49%Both score
27%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–117%
0–017%
1–113%
1–012%
0–29%
1–27%

From our goals model: UAI Urquiza 0.7 – 1.0 Real Pilar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultReal Pilar to win ✗45%2.212.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.361.40
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓51%1.981.57
Draw no betReal Pilar (draw no bet) ✗61%1.63–
Asian handicapUAI Urquiza +1 (Asian handicap) ✓77%1.29–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗53%1.87–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓73%1.36–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓96%1.04–
First team to scoreReal Pilar to score first ✗49%2.05–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓53%1.90–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗24%4.11–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17%5.72–

Recent results

UAI Urquiza – last 6

WDLLWL
5 Octvs Ituzaingó3–2W
27 Sep@ Villa Dalmine0–0D
19 Sepvs Excursionistas1–2L
12 Sep@ Arsenal Sarandi0–2L
6 Sepvs Argentino de Merlo2–0W
29 Aug@ Talleres Remedios0–1L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Real Pilar – last 6

WLWWLD
4 Octvs Villa Dalmine2–0W
26 Sep@ Excursionistas0–3L
19 Sepvs Arsenal Sarandi2–1W
12 Sep@ Argentino de Merlo1–0W
5 Sepvs Talleres Remedios0–2L
29 Aug@ Deportivo Laferrere1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

30 May 2026Real Pilar v UAI Urquiza2–1
UAI Urquiza vs Real Pilar head-to-head page →

Primera B Metropolitana table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Excursionistas422499+3681
2Arsenal Sarandi4221147+2877
3Sportivo Italiano42201210+1572
4Talleres Remedios42201111+1971
5Deportivo Camioneros42191310+1570
6Villa Dalmine42181410+1268
7Real Pilar42181212+466
8Deportivo Armenio42171213+363
9Comunicaciones42151512+560
10Deportivo Laferrere42151413-259
11Villa San Carlos42121515-551
12San Martín Burzaco42121515-651
13Argentino de Merlo42131118-650
14Flandria42131019-1049
15Deportivo Merlo42111615-1549
16Liniers42111516-748
17Argentino Quilmes42101715-847
18Dock Sud42111417-947
19Defensores Unidos42101616-646
20Brown DE Adrogue42101616-1246
21UAI Urquiza4282113-1045
22Ituzaingó4211427-4117

More Primera B Metropolitana predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for UAI Urquiza vs Real Pilar?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win UAI Urquiza vs Real Pilar?

On our numbers UAI Urquiza have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Real Pilar 45%.

How many goals will there be in UAI Urquiza vs Real Pilar?

We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for UAI Urquiza vs Real Pilar?

Our predicted score is UAI Urquiza 0–1 Real Pilar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.

When is UAI Urquiza vs Real Pilar?

UAI Urquiza vs Real Pilar (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Monday 12 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Monumental de Villa Lynch.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.