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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Deportivo Merlo v Arsenal Sarandi: numbers & prediction

Primera B Metropolitana · Argentina · Jose Manuel Moreno Stadium
1–1
FT
Deportivo Merlo 28%Draw 26%Arsenal Sarandi 46% Expected goals 0.89 – 1.24
50%
Betarazi pick

Not both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.99 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗

3/10Rating
1.57Odds

Picks by market

ResultArsenal Sarandi to win ✗46% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.78

Deportivo Merlo vs Arsenal Sarandi: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

21:00 WAT, Saturday 31 October: Deportivo Merlo v Arsenal Sarandi in the Primera B Metropolitana, played at Jose Manuel Moreno Stadium. In the table, Deportivo Merlo are 15th, lower half, on 49 points after 42 matches; Arsenal Sarandi are 2nd (among the top four) with 77. There are 28 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Deportivo Merlo, last 5: LWDDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Argentino de Merlo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Arsenal Sarandi, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Deportivo Camioneros, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (21 Jun 2026) it ended Arsenal Sarandi 4–2 Deportivo Merlo.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Merlo 0.9 xG, Arsenal Sarandi 1.2 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Merlo 28%, draw 26%, Arsenal Sarandi 46%.
  • GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (50%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Merlo 0–1 Arsenal Sarandi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Deportivo Merlo28%fair 3.55 · @3.30
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @2.70
Arsenal Sarandi46%fair 2.18 · @2.25
2.13Expected goals
0.89Deportivo Merlo xG
1.24Arsenal Sarandi xG
50%Both score
36%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–115%
1–113%
0–012%
1–011%
0–29%
1–28%

From our goals model: Deportivo Merlo 0.9 – 1.2 Arsenal Sarandi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultArsenal Sarandi to win ✗46%2.182.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74%1.351.36
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗50%1.991.57
Draw no betArsenal Sarandi (draw no bet)62%1.61–
Asian handicapDeportivo Merlo +1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83%1.20–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.07–
First team to scoreArsenal Sarandi to score first51%1.95–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓48%2.08–
Half-time / full-timeHT Arsenal Sarandi / FT Arsenal Sarandi ✗26%3.92–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15%6.78–

Recent results

Deportivo Merlo – last 6

LWDDLW
24 Oct@ Argentino de Merlo0–1L
17 Octvs Talleres Remedios2–1W
10 Oct@ Deportivo Laferrere1–1D
5 Octvs Brown DE Adrogue0–0D
26 Sep@ Deportivo Armenio0–1L
20 Sepvs Flandria2–1W
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Arsenal Sarandi – last 6

WDWLWL
24 Octvs Deportivo Camioneros2–1W
17 Oct@ Sportivo Italiano0–0D
10 Octvs San Martín Burzaco3–1W
3 Oct@ Villa San Carlos0–1L
26 Sepvs Liniers2–0W
19 Sep@ Real Pilar1–2L
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Jun 2026Arsenal Sarandi v Deportivo Merlo4–2
Deportivo Merlo vs Arsenal Sarandi head-to-head page →

Primera B Metropolitana table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Excursionistas422499+3681
2Arsenal Sarandi4221147+2877
3Sportivo Italiano42201210+1572
4Talleres Remedios42201111+1971
5Deportivo Camioneros42191310+1570
6Villa Dalmine42181410+1268
7Real Pilar42181212+466
8Deportivo Armenio42171213+363
9Comunicaciones42151512+560
10Deportivo Laferrere42151413-259
11Villa San Carlos42121515-551
12San Martín Burzaco42121515-651
13Argentino de Merlo42131118-650
14Flandria42131019-1049
15Deportivo Merlo42111615-1549
16Liniers42111516-748
17Argentino Quilmes42101715-847
18Dock Sud42111417-947
19Defensores Unidos42101616-646
20Brown DE Adrogue42101616-1246
21UAI Urquiza4282113-1045
22Ituzaingó4211427-4117

More Primera B Metropolitana predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Deportivo Merlo vs Arsenal Sarandi?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Deportivo Merlo vs Arsenal Sarandi?

On our numbers Deportivo Merlo have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Arsenal Sarandi 46%.

How many goals will there be in Deportivo Merlo vs Arsenal Sarandi?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Deportivo Merlo vs Arsenal Sarandi?

Our predicted score is Deportivo Merlo 0–1 Arsenal Sarandi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Deportivo Merlo vs Arsenal Sarandi?

Deportivo Merlo vs Arsenal Sarandi (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Jose Manuel Moreno Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.