Sportivo Italiano v Villa Dalmine Prediction & Expected Goals (31 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultSportivo Italiano to win ✓37% · @2.62

Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.40

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.65

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.36

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15% · fair 6.63

Sportivo Italiano vs Villa Dalmine: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 31 October the Primera B Metropolitana brings Sportivo Italiano against Villa Dalmine at Republica de Italia Stadium. Kick-off: 21:00 WAT. In the table, Sportivo Italiano are 3rd, among the top four, on 72 points after 42 matches; Villa Dalmine are 6th (upper half) with 68.

Current form

Sportivo Italiano, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Excursionistas, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Villa Dalmine, last 5: WLDLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over San Martín Burzaco, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Sportivo Italiano, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Villa Dalmine.

Head to head

When they last met (20 Jun 2026) it ended Villa Dalmine 2–1 Sportivo Italiano.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sportivo Italiano 0.9 xG, Villa Dalmine 0.9 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 73%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Sportivo Italiano 37%, draw 26%, Villa Dalmine 36%.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.65.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (53%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sportivo Italiano 0–0 Villa Dalmine. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sportivo Italiano37%fair 2.68 · @2.62

Draw26%fair 3.80 · @2.62

Villa Dalmine36%fair 2.75 · @2.80

1.79Expected goals

0.90Sportivo Italiano xG

0.89Villa Dalmine xG

47%Both score

27%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–017%

1–015%

0–115%

1–113%

2–07%

0–27%

From our goals model: Sportivo Italiano 0.9 – 0.9 Villa Dalmine expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Sportivo Italiano to win ✓	37%	2.68	2.62
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	74%	1.36	1.40
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✓	53%	1.88	1.65
Draw no bet	Sportivo Italiano (draw no bet) ✓	51%	1.97	–
Asian handicap	Villa Dalmine +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	66%	1.52	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	53%	1.87	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	73%	1.36	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	89%	1.12	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	96%	1.04	–
First team to score	Sportivo Italiano to score first ✓	42%	2.38	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	53%	1.89	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Draw / FT Draw ✗	25%	4.07	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✓	15%	6.63	–

Sportivo Italiano – last 6

LDWWWD

24 Oct	@ Excursionistas	0–4	L
17 Oct	vs Arsenal Sarandi	0–0	D
11 Oct	@ Argentino de Merlo	2–1	W
4 Oct	vs Talleres Remedios	2–0	W
26 Sep	@ Deportivo Laferrere	2–1	W
19 Sep	vs Brown DE Adrogue	0–0	D

1.0Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

33%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Villa Dalmine – last 6

WLDLDW

24 Oct	vs San Martín Burzaco	1–0	W
17 Oct	@ Villa San Carlos	0–3	L
10 Oct	vs Liniers	1–1	D
4 Oct	@ Real Pilar	0–2	L
27 Sep	vs UAI Urquiza	0–0	D
19 Sep	vs Ituzaingó	3–1	W

0.8Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Excursionistas	42	24	9	9	+36	81
2	Arsenal Sarandi	42	21	14	7	+28	77
3	Sportivo Italiano	42	20	12	10	+15	72
4	Talleres Remedios	42	20	11	11	+19	71
5	Deportivo Camioneros	42	19	13	10	+15	70
6	Villa Dalmine	42	18	14	10	+12	68
7	Real Pilar	42	18	12	12	+4	66
8	Deportivo Armenio	42	17	12	13	+3	63
9	Comunicaciones	42	15	15	12	+5	60
10	Deportivo Laferrere	42	15	14	13	-2	59
11	Villa San Carlos	42	12	15	15	-5	51
12	San Martín Burzaco	42	12	15	15	-6	51
13	Argentino de Merlo	42	13	11	18	-6	50
14	Flandria	42	13	10	19	-10	49
15	Deportivo Merlo	42	11	16	15	-15	49
16	Liniers	42	11	15	16	-7	48
17	Argentino Quilmes	42	10	17	15	-8	47
18	Dock Sud	42	11	14	17	-9	47
19	Defensores Unidos	42	10	16	16	-6	46
20	Brown DE Adrogue	42	10	16	16	-12	46
21	UAI Urquiza	42	8	21	13	-10	45
22	Ituzaingó	42	1	14	27	-41	17

Team

Pts

+36

+28

+15

+19

+15

+12

-2

-5

-6

-6

-10

-15

-7

-8

-9

-6

-12

-10

-41

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sportivo Italiano vs Villa Dalmine?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Sportivo Italiano vs Villa Dalmine?

On our numbers Sportivo Italiano have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Villa Dalmine 36%.

How many goals will there be in Sportivo Italiano vs Villa Dalmine?

We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sportivo Italiano vs Villa Dalmine?

Our predicted score is Sportivo Italiano 0–0 Villa Dalmine, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.

When is Sportivo Italiano vs Villa Dalmine?

Sportivo Italiano vs Villa Dalmine (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Republica de Italia Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Sportivo Italiano v Villa Dalmine: numbers & prediction