Value bet: Under 1.5 goals @ 2.05 – our chance 52% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDeportivo Español to win ✗54% · @1.70
Double chanceDeportivo Español or draw ✓86% · @1.07
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗59% · @1.38
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓77% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗26% · fair 3.89
Deportivo Español vs Atletico Atlas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Atletico Atlas travel to face Deportivo Español on Sunday 29 March in the Primera C – the ball rolls at 19:30 WAT. In the table, Deportivo Español are 3rd, among the top four, on 52 points after 32 matches; Atletico Atlas are 10th (lower half) with 37. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Español 1.0 xG, Atletico Atlas 0.4 xG – a total near 1.4. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 77% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Español 54%, draw 32%, Atletico Atlas 14%.
GG/NG: NG (59%) at 1.38.
Price worth noting: Under 1.5 goals @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (77%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Español 1–0 Atletico Atlas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Deportivo Español54%fair 1.85 · @1.70
Draw32%fair 3.09 · @2.90
Atletico Atlas14%fair 7.41 · @5.80
1.40Expected goals
1.04Deportivo Español xG
0.36Atletico Atlas xG
41%Both score
23%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–026%
0–025%
2–013%
1–19%
0–19%
2–15%
From our goals model: Deportivo Español 1.0 – 0.4 Atletico Atlas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Deportivo Español
Atletico Atlas
Attack vs Primera C average
-13%
-13%
Goals conceded vs average
-55%
-5%
Our expected goals here
0.90
0.32
Our own ratings from every Primera C result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Español to win✗
54%
1.85
1.70
Double chance
Deportivo Español or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.07
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
59%
1.68
1.38
Draw no bet
Deportivo Español (draw no bet)
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Atletico Atlas +1 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
2.05 ▲
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
99%
1.01
–
First team to score
Deportivo Español to score first✗
56%
1.78
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
58%
1.73
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo Español / FT Deportivo Español✗
30%
3.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
26%
3.89
–
Recent results
Deportivo Español – last 2
DL
23 Mar
@ Victoriano Arenas
0–0
D
23 Feb
vs Yupanqui
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Atletico Atlas – last 1
L
20 Mar
@ Sacachispas
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Español and Atletico Atlas.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Español vs Atletico Atlas?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Deportivo Español vs Atletico Atlas?
On our numbers Deportivo Español have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 32% and Atletico Atlas 14%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Español vs Atletico Atlas?
We expect about 1.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 23% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Español vs Atletico Atlas?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Español 1–0 Atletico Atlas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.4 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Español vs Atletico Atlas?
Deportivo Español vs Atletico Atlas (Primera C) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.