Value bet: El Porvenir to win @ 2.95 – our chance 36% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultEl Porvenir to win ✗36% · @2.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✗69% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗72% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.21
El Porvenir vs Sportivo Barracas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:30 WAT, Sunday 29 March: El Porvenir v Sportivo Barracas in the Primera C. In the table, El Porvenir are 8th, lower half, on 40 points after 32 matches; Sportivo Barracas are 7th (upper half) with 40. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give El Porvenir 1.0 xG, Sportivo Barracas 0.8 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 72%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – El Porvenir 36%, draw 31%, Sportivo Barracas 33%.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: El Porvenir to win @2.95 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (72%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: El Porvenir 0–0 Sportivo Barracas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
El Porvenir36%fair 2.75 · @2.95
Draw31%fair 3.26 · @2.70
Sportivo Barracas33%fair 3.03 · @2.60
1.79Expected goals
0.97El Porvenir xG
0.83Sportivo Barracas xG
47%Both score
28%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–017%
1–016%
0–114%
1–113%
2–08%
2–16%
From our goals model: El Porvenir 1.0 – 0.8 Sportivo Barracas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
El Porvenir
Sportivo Barracas
Attack vs Primera C average
+1%
-7%
Goals conceded vs average
+10%
+3%
Our expected goals here
1.13
0.84
Our own ratings from every Primera C result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
El Porvenir to win✗
36%
2.75
2.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
69%
1.44
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
1.50
Draw no bet
El Porvenir (draw no bet)
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Sportivo Barracas +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.70
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
72%
1.40
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
89%
1.12
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
First team to score
El Porvenir to score first
45%
2.22
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
53%
1.90
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
24%
4.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.21
–
Recent results
El Porvenir – last 1
D
9 Mar
@ Leones de Rosario
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Sportivo Barracas – last 2
LL
25 Mar
@ Atletico Tucuman
1–2
L
16 Mar
vs Fénix
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between El Porvenir and Sportivo Barracas.
What is the prediction for El Porvenir vs Sportivo Barracas?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win El Porvenir vs Sportivo Barracas?
On our numbers El Porvenir have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Sportivo Barracas 33%.
How many goals will there be in El Porvenir vs Sportivo Barracas?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for El Porvenir vs Sportivo Barracas?
Our predicted score is El Porvenir 0–0 Sportivo Barracas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is El Porvenir vs Sportivo Barracas?
El Porvenir vs Sportivo Barracas (Primera C) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Defensores de Cambaceres3
Juventud Unida0
Puerto Nuevo1
Argentino Rosario1