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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Argentino Rosario v Deportivo Paraguayo: numbers & prediction

Primera C · Argentina
Argentino Rosario 54%Draw 27%Deportivo Paraguayo 19% Expected goals 1.43 – 0.85
66%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.44Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 50% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultArgentino Rosario to win ✓54% · @1.62
Double chanceArgentino Rosario or draw ✓81% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.26

Argentino Rosario vs Deportivo Paraguayo: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:30 WAT, Sunday 5 April: Argentino Rosario v Deportivo Paraguayo in the Primera C. In the table, Argentino Rosario are 14th, in the drop zone, on 27 points after 32 matches; Deportivo Paraguayo are 12th (in the drop zone) with 32.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Argentino Rosario 1.4 xG, Deportivo Paraguayo 0.8 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 50%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Argentino Rosario 54%, draw 27%, Deportivo Paraguayo 19%.
  • GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.15.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 50%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (66%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Argentino Rosario 1–1 Deportivo Paraguayo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Argentino Rosario54%fair 1.84 · @1.62
Draw27%fair 3.75 · @3.30
Deportivo Paraguayo19%fair 5.23 · @5.60
2.28Expected goals
1.43Argentino Rosario xG
0.85Deportivo Paraguayo xG
50%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
1–112%
2–010%
0–010%
2–19%
0–19%

From our goals model: Argentino Rosario 1.4 – 0.8 Deportivo Paraguayo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Argentino RosarioDeportivo Paraguayo
Attack vs Primera C average-0%-20%
Goals conceded vs average+34%+12%
Our expected goals here1.210.88

Our own ratings from every Primera C result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultArgentino Rosario to win ✓54%1.841.62
Double chanceArgentino Rosario or draw ✓81%1.241.08
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗50%1.992.15 ▲
Draw no betArgentino Rosario (draw no bet) ✓74%1.35–
Asian handicapDeportivo Paraguayo +1 (Asian handicap) ✗66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓66%1.521.44
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓60%1.671.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79%1.261.18
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.09–
First team to scoreArgentino Rosario to score first ✓56%1.78–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.18–
Half-time / full-timeHT Argentino Rosario / FT Argentino Rosario ✓30%3.33–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.26–

Recent results

Argentino Rosario – last 2

DD
29 Mar@ Puerto Nuevo1–1D
23 Marvs Yupanqui1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Deportivo Paraguayo – last 1

D
15 Mar@ Berazategui0–0D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Argentino Rosario and Deportivo Paraguayo.

Argentino Rosario vs Deportivo Paraguayo head-to-head page →

Primera C table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Berazategui3213127+1651
2Sacachispas3214810+750
3Estrella Del Sur3212128+348
4Centro Español3212119+1347
5Mercedes3212119+747
6Victoriano Arenas3211147+747
7Lugano3211138+646
8Juventud Unida3212911+645
9Puerto Nuevo32101111-641
10Defensores de Cambaceres329914-936
11JJ Urquiza3271411-535
12Deportivo Paraguayo3271114-1832
13Leandro N. Alem328717-2831
14Argentino Rosario3241513-1227

More Primera C predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Argentino Rosario vs Deportivo Paraguayo?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Argentino Rosario vs Deportivo Paraguayo?

On our numbers Argentino Rosario have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Deportivo Paraguayo 19%.

How many goals will there be in Argentino Rosario vs Deportivo Paraguayo?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Argentino Rosario vs Deportivo Paraguayo?

Our predicted score is Argentino Rosario 1–1 Deportivo Paraguayo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Argentino Rosario vs Deportivo Paraguayo?

Argentino Rosario vs Deportivo Paraguayo (Primera C) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.