Estrella Del Sur 51%Draw 29%Mercedes 20%Expected goals 1.25 – 0.75
67%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Picks by market
ResultEstrella Del Sur to win ✗51% · @1.77
Double chanceEstrella Del Sur or draw ✓80% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.48
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓67% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.90
Estrella Del Sur vs Mercedes: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Mercedes travel to face Estrella Del Sur on Sunday 5 April in the Primera C – the ball rolls at 19:30 WAT. In the table, Estrella Del Sur are 3rd, among the top four, on 48 points after 32 matches; Mercedes are 5th (upper half) with 47. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Estrella Del Sur 1.2 xG, Mercedes 0.7 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Estrella Del Sur 51%, draw 29%, Mercedes 20%.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.48.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Estrella Del Sur 1–0 Mercedes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Estrella Del Sur51%fair 1.97 · @1.77
Draw29%fair 3.41 · @2.95
Mercedes20%fair 5.00 · @5.00
2.00Expected goals
1.25Estrella Del Sur xG
0.75Mercedes xG
47%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
0–014%
1–113%
2–011%
0–110%
2–18%
From our goals model: Estrella Del Sur 1.2 – 0.7 Mercedes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Estrella Del Sur
Mercedes
Attack vs Primera C average
-1%
+1%
Goals conceded vs average
-10%
-2%
Our expected goals here
1.06
0.74
Our own ratings from every Primera C result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Estrella Del Sur to win✗
51%
1.97
1.77
Double chance
Estrella Del Sur or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.48
Draw no bet
Estrella Del Sur (draw no bet)
72%
1.39
–
Asian handicap
Mercedes +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.71
1.60
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Estrella Del Sur to score first✗
54%
1.85
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Estrella Del Sur / FT Estrella Del Sur✗
28%
3.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.90
–
Recent results
Estrella Del Sur – last 1
W
22 Feb
vs Defensores de Cambaceres
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Mercedes
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Estrella Del Sur and Mercedes.
What is the prediction for Estrella Del Sur vs Mercedes?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Estrella Del Sur vs Mercedes?
On our numbers Estrella Del Sur have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Mercedes 20%.
How many goals will there be in Estrella Del Sur vs Mercedes?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Estrella Del Sur vs Mercedes?
Our predicted score is Estrella Del Sur 1–0 Mercedes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Estrella Del Sur vs Mercedes?
Estrella Del Sur vs Mercedes (Primera C) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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