Value bet: Canuelas to win @ 1.90 – our chance 65% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCanuelas to win ✓65% · @1.90
Double chanceCanuelas or draw ✓86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.42
Canuelas vs Leandro N. Alem: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 18 July the Primera C brings Canuelas against Leandro N. Alem. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Canuelas are 2nd, among the top four, on 61 points after 32 matches; Leandro N. Alem are 13th (in the drop zone) with 31. There are 30 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Canuelas, last 5: WDWWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Deportivo Español, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 6 clean sheets in that run.
Leandro N. Alem, last 5: WLDDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Argentino Rosario, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Canuelas, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.3 for Leandro N. Alem.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Canuelas 2.1 xG, Leandro N. Alem 0.6 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Canuelas 65%, draw 21%, Leandro N. Alem 14%.
Lower-risk option: Canuelas or draw (86%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Canuelas to win @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 65%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (70%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Canuelas 2–0 Leandro N. Alem. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Canuelas65%fair 1.53 · @1.90
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @3.20
Leandro N. Alem14%fair 7.29 · @3.95
2.66Expected goals
2.08Canuelas xG
0.58Leandro N. Alem xG
52%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–015%
1–015%
3–011%
2–19%
1–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Canuelas 2.1 – 0.6 Leandro N. Alem expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Canuelas
Leandro N. Alem
Attack vs Primera C average
+50%
-29%
Goals conceded vs average
-32%
+71%
Our expected goals here
2.77
0.39
Our own ratings from every Primera C result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Canuelas to win✓
65%
1.53
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Canuelas or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
2.00
Draw no bet
Canuelas (draw no bet)✓
83%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Canuelas -1 (Asian handicap)
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.44
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Canuelas to score first✓
73%
1.37
–
Half-time result
Canuelas ahead at half-time✗
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Canuelas / FT Canuelas✗
48%
2.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.42
–
Recent results
Canuelas – last 6
WDWWDW
11 Jul
@ Deportivo Español
1–0
W
5 Jul
vs Central Cordoba
0–0
D
30 Jun
@ Claypole
2–0
W
14 Jun
@ Central Ballester
1–0
W
7 Jun
vs El Porvenir
0–0
D
1 Jun
@ Fénix
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Leandro N. Alem – last 6
WLDDLW
12 Jul
vs Argentino Rosario
2–0
W
4 Jul
@ Estrella Del Sur
0–3
L
28 Jun
vs Berazategui
1–1
D
13 Jun
vs Victoriano Arenas
0–0
D
6 Jun
@ Centro Español
0–3
L
31 May
vs JJ Urquiza
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Canuelas and Leandro N. Alem.
What is the prediction for Canuelas vs Leandro N. Alem?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Canuelas vs Leandro N. Alem?
On our numbers Canuelas have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Leandro N. Alem 14%.
How many goals will there be in Canuelas vs Leandro N. Alem?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Canuelas vs Leandro N. Alem?
Our predicted score is Canuelas 2–0 Leandro N. Alem, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Canuelas vs Leandro N. Alem?
Canuelas vs Leandro N. Alem (Primera C) kicks off on Saturday 18 July 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
El Porvenir0