Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultBerazategui to win ✗53% · @1.73
Double chanceBerazategui or draw ✗81% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.07
Berazategui vs Mercedes: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Mercedes travel to face Berazategui on Saturday 25 July in the Primera C – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Berazategui are 1st, leading the league, on 51 points after 32 matches; Mercedes are 5th (upper half) with 47.
Current form
Berazategui, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Deportivo Paraguayo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Mercedes, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over El Porvenir, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Mercedes, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Berazategui.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Berazategui 1.3 xG, Mercedes 0.8 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Berazategui 53%, draw 28%, Mercedes 19%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (63%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Berazategui 1–1 Mercedes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Berazategui53%fair 1.90 · @1.73
Draw28%fair 3.55 · @3.20
Mercedes19%fair 5.21 · @5.00
2.09Expected goals
1.33Berazategui xG
0.76Mercedes xG
49%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
1–113%
0–012%
2–011%
0–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: Berazategui 1.3 – 0.8 Mercedes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Berazategui
Mercedes
Attack vs Primera C average
+22%
+1%
Goals conceded vs average
+4%
-2%
Our expected goals here
1.30
0.86
Our own ratings from every Primera C result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Berazategui to win✗
53%
1.90
1.73
Double chance
Berazategui or draw✗
81%
1.24
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
1.62
Draw no bet
Berazategui (draw no bet)✗
73%
1.36
–
Asian handicap
Mercedes +1 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
First team to score
Berazategui to score first✗
56%
1.79
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Berazategui / FT Berazategui✗
29%
3.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.07
–
Recent results
Berazategui – last 6
WLDWLD
11 Jul
@ Deportivo Paraguayo
1–0
W
5 Jul
vs Puerto Nuevo
0–2
L
28 Jun
@ Leandro N. Alem
1–1
D
8 Jun
vs Juventud Unida
2–1
W
3 Jun
@ Sacachispas
0–1
L
24 May
vs Argentino Rosario
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Mercedes – last 6
WDWWLD
18 Jul
vs El Porvenir
2–0
W
12 Jul
vs Victoriano Arenas
1–1
D
6 Jul
@ Centro Español
3–0
W
27 Jun
vs JJ Urquiza
5–0
W
14 Jun
@ Lugano
0–1
L
6 Jun
vs Deportivo Paraguayo
0–0
D
1.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Berazategui and Mercedes.
What is the prediction for Berazategui vs Mercedes?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Berazategui vs Mercedes?
On our numbers Berazategui have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Mercedes 19%.
How many goals will there be in Berazategui vs Mercedes?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Berazategui vs Mercedes?
Our predicted score is Berazategui 1–1 Mercedes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Berazategui vs Mercedes?
Berazategui vs Mercedes (Primera C) kicks off on Saturday 25 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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