Estrella Del Sur 56%Draw 27%Deportivo Paraguayo 17%Expected goals 1.33 – 0.61
67%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
Picks by market
ResultEstrella Del Sur to win ✓56% · @1.57
Double chanceEstrella Del Sur or draw ✓83% · @1.07
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.45
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓67% · @1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓19% · fair 5.22
Estrella Del Sur vs Deportivo Paraguayo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 25 July the Primera C brings Estrella Del Sur against Deportivo Paraguayo. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Estrella Del Sur are 3rd, among the top four, on 48 points after 32 matches; Deportivo Paraguayo are 12th (in the drop zone) with 32. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Estrella Del Sur, last 5: LWWLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Puerto Nuevo, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Deportivo Paraguayo, last 5: LDLDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Berazategui, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.0 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Estrella Del Sur, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Deportivo Paraguayo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Estrella Del Sur 1.3 xG, Deportivo Paraguayo 0.6 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Estrella Del Sur 56%, draw 27%, Deportivo Paraguayo 17%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.45.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Estrella Del Sur 1–0 Deportivo Paraguayo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Estrella Del Sur56%fair 1.79 · @1.57
Draw27%fair 3.68 · @3.35
Deportivo Paraguayo17%fair 5.89 · @6.20
1.93Expected goals
1.33Estrella Del Sur xG
0.61Deportivo Paraguayo xG
48%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–019%
0–014%
2–013%
1–112%
0–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: Estrella Del Sur 1.3 – 0.6 Deportivo Paraguayo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Estrella Del Sur
Deportivo Paraguayo
Attack vs Primera C average
-1%
-20%
Goals conceded vs average
-10%
+12%
Our expected goals here
1.21
0.59
Our own ratings from every Primera C result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Estrella Del Sur to win✓
56%
1.79
1.57
Double chance
Estrella Del Sur or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.07
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
1.45
Draw no bet
Estrella Del Sur (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Deportivo Paraguayo +1 (Asian handicap)
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
First team to score
Estrella Del Sur to score first✓
59%
1.71
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Estrella Del Sur / FT Estrella Del Sur✗
32%
3.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
19%
5.22
–
Recent results
Estrella Del Sur – last 6
LWWLDD
12 Jul
@ Puerto Nuevo
0–1
L
4 Jul
vs Leandro N. Alem
3–0
W
28 Jun
@ Defensores de Cambaceres
3–0
W
14 Jun
@ Juventud Unida
0–2
L
6 Jun
vs Sacachispas
0–0
D
30 May
@ Argentino Rosario
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Deportivo Paraguayo – last 6
LDLDDD
11 Jul
vs Berazategui
0–1
L
5 Jul
@ Victoriano Arenas
0–0
D
27 Jun
vs Centro Español
0–2
L
13 Jun
vs JJ Urquiza
0–0
D
6 Jun
@ Mercedes
0–0
D
30 May
@ Lugano
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Estrella Del Sur and Deportivo Paraguayo.
What is the prediction for Estrella Del Sur vs Deportivo Paraguayo?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Estrella Del Sur vs Deportivo Paraguayo?
On our numbers Estrella Del Sur have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Deportivo Paraguayo 17%.
How many goals will there be in Estrella Del Sur vs Deportivo Paraguayo?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Estrella Del Sur vs Deportivo Paraguayo?
Our predicted score is Estrella Del Sur 1–0 Deportivo Paraguayo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Estrella Del Sur vs Deportivo Paraguayo?
Estrella Del Sur vs Deportivo Paraguayo (Primera C) kicks off on Saturday 25 July 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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