Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMercedes to win ✗38% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.82
Argentino Rosario vs Mercedes: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 8 August the Primera C brings Argentino Rosario against Mercedes. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Argentino Rosario are 14th, in the drop zone, on 27 points after 32 matches; Mercedes are 5th (upper half) with 47. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Argentino Rosario, last 5: LDDLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Deportivo Paraguayo, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Mercedes, last 5: DWWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Estrella Del Sur, at home. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Mercedes, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.5 for Argentino Rosario.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Argentino Rosario 1.0 xG, Mercedes 1.1 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Argentino Rosario 33%, draw 29%, Mercedes 38%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Argentino Rosario 0–1 Mercedes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Argentino Rosario33%fair 3.05 · @2.75
Draw29%fair 3.46 · @2.90
Mercedes38%fair 2.61 · @2.55
2.06Expected goals
0.99Argentino Rosario xG
1.07Mercedes xG
52%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–113%
0–013%
1–013%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Argentino Rosario 1.0 – 1.1 Mercedes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Argentino Rosario
Mercedes
Attack vs Primera C average
-0%
+1%
Goals conceded vs average
+34%
-2%
Our expected goals here
1.06
1.10
Our own ratings from every Primera C result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mercedes to win✗
38%
2.61
2.55
Double chance
Either team to win✓
71%
1.41
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.94
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Mercedes (draw no bet)✗
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
Argentino Rosario +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
First team to score
Mercedes to score first✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
21%
4.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
13.82
–
Recent results
Argentino Rosario – last 6
LDDLDL
31 Jul
@ Deportivo Paraguayo
1–2
L
23 Jul
vs Puerto Nuevo
0–0
D
17 Jul
@ Yupanqui
1–1
D
12 Jul
@ Leandro N. Alem
0–2
L
4 Jul
vs Defensores de Cambaceres
1–1
D
27 Jun
@ Juventud Unida
0–3
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Mercedes – last 6
DWWDWW
31 Jul
vs Estrella Del Sur
1–1
D
25 Jul
@ Berazategui
1–0
W
18 Jul
vs El Porvenir
2–0
W
12 Jul
vs Victoriano Arenas
1–1
D
6 Jul
@ Centro Español
3–0
W
27 Jun
vs JJ Urquiza
5–0
W
2.2Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Argentino Rosario and Mercedes.
What is the prediction for Argentino Rosario vs Mercedes?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Argentino Rosario vs Mercedes?
On our numbers Argentino Rosario have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Mercedes 38%.
How many goals will there be in Argentino Rosario vs Mercedes?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Argentino Rosario vs Mercedes?
Our predicted score is Argentino Rosario 0–1 Mercedes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Argentino Rosario vs Mercedes?
Argentino Rosario vs Mercedes (Primera C) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
El Porvenir0
Yupanqui3