El Porvenir 42%Draw 28%Yupanqui 30%Expected goals 1.24 – 0.95
64%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
Picks by market
ResultEl Porvenir to win ✗42% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.24
El Porvenir vs Yupanqui: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
El Porvenir welcome Yupanqui for a Primera C fixture on Saturday 8 August (19:00 WAT). In the table, El Porvenir are 8th, lower half, on 40 points after 32 matches; Yupanqui are 12th (in the drop zone) with 35.
Current form
El Porvenir, last 5: DLDDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Fénix, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Yupanqui, last 5: LDDLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Canuelas, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (13 Apr 2026) it ended Yupanqui 2–2 El Porvenir.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give El Porvenir 1.2 xG, Yupanqui 0.9 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – El Porvenir 42%, draw 28%, Yupanqui 30%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (64%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: El Porvenir 1–1 Yupanqui. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
El Porvenir42%fair 2.36 · @2.15
Draw28%fair 3.60 · @3.00
Yupanqui30%fair 3.35 · @3.35
2.19Expected goals
1.24El Porvenir xG
0.95Yupanqui xG
50%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: El Porvenir 1.2 – 0.9 Yupanqui expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
El Porvenir
Yupanqui
Attack vs Primera C average
+1%
+7%
Goals conceded vs average
+10%
+23%
Our expected goals here
1.35
0.96
Our own ratings from every Primera C result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for El Porvenir vs Yupanqui?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win El Porvenir vs Yupanqui?
On our numbers El Porvenir have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Yupanqui 30%.
How many goals will there be in El Porvenir vs Yupanqui?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for El Porvenir vs Yupanqui?
Our predicted score is El Porvenir 1–1 Yupanqui, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is El Porvenir vs Yupanqui?
El Porvenir vs Yupanqui (Primera C) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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