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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Deportivo Paraguayo v Leandro N. Alem: numbers & prediction

Primera C · Argentina
Deportivo Paraguayo 37%Draw 25%Leandro N. Alem 38% Expected goals 1.03 – 1.06
67%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.36 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.36Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.50 – our chance 50% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +26%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultLeandro N. Alem to win ✗38% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @2.50
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗84% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.93

Deportivo Paraguayo vs Leandro N. Alem: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:00 WAT, Sunday 6 September: Deportivo Paraguayo v Leandro N. Alem in the Primera C. In the table, Deportivo Paraguayo are 12th, in the drop zone, on 32 points after 32 matches; Leandro N. Alem are 13th (in the drop zone) with 31. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Deportivo Paraguayo, last 5: DWLLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Defensores de Cambaceres, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Leandro N. Alem, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Puerto Nuevo, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Momentum favours Deportivo Paraguayo, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.2 for Leandro N. Alem.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Paraguayo 1.0 xG, Leandro N. Alem 1.1 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Paraguayo 37%, draw 25%, Leandro N. Alem 38%.
  • GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.50.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.50 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 50%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Paraguayo 1–1 Leandro N. Alem. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Deportivo Paraguayo37%fair 2.72 · @2.62
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @2.80
Leandro N. Alem38%fair 2.60 · @2.62
2.09Expected goals
1.03Deportivo Paraguayo xG
1.06Leandro N. Alem xG
50%Both score
33%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–114%
0–113%
1–013%
0–012%
1–27%
0–27%

From our goals model: Deportivo Paraguayo 1.0 – 1.1 Leandro N. Alem expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLeandro N. Alem to win ✗38%2.602.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.331.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓50%1.992.50 ▲
Draw no betLeandro N. Alem (draw no bet) ✗51%1.96–
Asian handicapDeportivo Paraguayo +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓60%1.671.62
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗67%1.491.36
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗84%1.191.11
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗92%1.081.03
First team to scoreLeandro N. Alem to score first45%2.25–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗49%2.05–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗21%4.83–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7%13.93–

Recent results

Deportivo Paraguayo – last 6

DWLLDW
29 Aug@ Defensores de Cambaceres0–0D
22 Augvs Juventud Unida2–1W
16 Augvs Sportivo Barracas0–1L
10 Aug@ Sacachispas0–2L
4 Augvs Central Ballester0–0D
31 Julvs Argentino Rosario2–1W
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Leandro N. Alem – last 6

LLLLLD
30 Augvs Puerto Nuevo0–3L
25 Augvs Juventud Unida1–2L
22 Augvs Lugano0–1L
15 Aug@ Central Ballester0–3L
8 Aug@ Defensores de Cambaceres0–2L
27 Jul@ Sacachispas1–1D
0.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Paraguayo and Leandro N. Alem.

Deportivo Paraguayo vs Leandro N. Alem head-to-head page →

Primera C table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Berazategui3213127+1651
2Sacachispas3214810+750
3Estrella Del Sur3212128+348
4Centro Español3212119+1347
5Mercedes3212119+747
6Victoriano Arenas3211147+747
7Lugano3211138+646
8Juventud Unida3212911+645
9Puerto Nuevo32101111-641
10Defensores de Cambaceres329914-936
11JJ Urquiza3271411-535
12Deportivo Paraguayo3271114-1832
13Leandro N. Alem328717-2831
14Argentino Rosario3241513-1227

More Primera C predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Deportivo Paraguayo vs Leandro N. Alem?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Deportivo Paraguayo vs Leandro N. Alem?

On our numbers Deportivo Paraguayo have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Leandro N. Alem 38%.

How many goals will there be in Deportivo Paraguayo vs Leandro N. Alem?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Deportivo Paraguayo vs Leandro N. Alem?

Our predicted score is Deportivo Paraguayo 1–1 Leandro N. Alem, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Deportivo Paraguayo vs Leandro N. Alem?

Deportivo Paraguayo vs Leandro N. Alem (Primera C) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.