Puerto Nuevo 37%Draw 24%Lugano 38%Expected goals 0.99 – 1.01
67%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Picks by market
ResultLugano to win ✓38% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓14% · fair 7.35
Puerto Nuevo vs Lugano: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Lugano travel to face Puerto Nuevo on Sunday 6 September in the Primera C – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Puerto Nuevo are 9th, lower half, on 41 points after 32 matches; Lugano are 7th (upper half) with 46.
Current form
Puerto Nuevo, last 5: WLDDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Leandro N. Alem, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Lugano, last 5: DWLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Berazategui, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Puerto Nuevo 1.0 xG, Lugano 1.0 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Puerto Nuevo 37%, draw 24%, Lugano 38%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Puerto Nuevo 0–1 Lugano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Puerto Nuevo37%fair 2.67 · @2.60
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @2.90
Lugano38%fair 2.61 · @2.55
2.01Expected goals
0.99Puerto Nuevo xG
1.01Lugano xG
48%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–114%
0–013%
1–013%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Puerto Nuevo 1.0 – 1.0 Lugano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lugano to win✓
38%
2.61
2.55
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
1.53
Draw no bet
Lugano (draw no bet)✓
51%
1.98
–
Asian handicap
Puerto Nuevo +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.71
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.12
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
1.03
First team to score
Lugano to score first✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
14%
7.35
–
Recent results
Puerto Nuevo – last 6
WLDDWD
30 Aug
@ Leandro N. Alem
3–0
W
23 Aug
vs Defensores de Cambaceres
0–2
L
14 Aug
vs Yupanqui
2–2
D
9 Aug
@ Juventud Unida
1–1
D
31 Jul
vs Sacachispas
1–0
W
23 Jul
@ Argentino Rosario
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Lugano – last 6
DWLDWW
31 Aug
vs Berazategui
1–1
D
22 Aug
@ Leandro N. Alem
1–0
W
16 Aug
vs Lujan
1–2
L
9 Aug
vs Victoriano Arenas
0–0
D
31 Jul
@ Defensores de Cambaceres
2–1
W
25 Jul
vs Centro Español
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Puerto Nuevo and Lugano.
What is the prediction for Puerto Nuevo vs Lugano?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Puerto Nuevo vs Lugano?
On our numbers Puerto Nuevo have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Lugano 38%.
How many goals will there be in Puerto Nuevo vs Lugano?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Puerto Nuevo vs Lugano?
Our predicted score is Puerto Nuevo 0–1 Lugano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Puerto Nuevo vs Lugano?
Puerto Nuevo vs Lugano (Primera C) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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