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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Juventud Unida v El Porvenir: numbers & prediction

Primera C · Argentina
0–1
FT
Juventud Unida 43%Draw 25%El Porvenir 32% Expected goals 1.09 – 0.87
69%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.45 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.36Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.50 – our chance 50% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +26%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultJuventud Unida to win ✗43% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.74

Juventud Unida vs El Porvenir: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:00 WAT, Saturday 12 September: Juventud Unida v El Porvenir in the Primera C. In the table, Juventud Unida are 8th, lower half, on 45 points after 32 matches; El Porvenir are 8th (lower half) with 40.

Current form

Juventud Unida, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to JJ Urquiza, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

El Porvenir, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Central Cordoba, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Juventud Unida 1.1 xG, El Porvenir 0.9 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 69%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Juventud Unida 43%, draw 25%, El Porvenir 32%.
  • GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.50.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.50 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 50%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Juventud Unida 1–0 El Porvenir. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Juventud Unida43%fair 2.31 · @2.30
Draw25%fair 3.99 · @2.75
El Porvenir32%fair 3.16 · @3.10
1.96Expected goals
1.09Juventud Unida xG
0.87El Porvenir xG
50%Both score
31%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
0–014%
1–113%
0–112%
2–08%
2–17%

From our goals model: Juventud Unida 1.1 – 0.9 El Porvenir expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultJuventud Unida to win ✗43%2.312.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.331.36
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗50%1.992.50 ▲
Draw no betJuventud Unida (draw no bet) ✗58%1.73–
Asian handicapEl Porvenir +1 (Asian handicap) ✓78%1.28–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗58%1.731.62
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69%1.451.36
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85%1.171.11
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.081.03
First team to scoreJuventud Unida to score first ✗48%2.09–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓50%1.99–
Half-time / full-timeHT Juventud Unida / FT Juventud Unida ✗23%4.41–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7%13.74–

Recent results

Juventud Unida – last 6

LWWLWD
6 Sep@ JJ Urquiza0–2L
30 Augvs Mercedes4–1W
25 Aug@ Leandro N. Alem2–1W
22 Aug@ Deportivo Paraguayo1–2L
18 Aug@ Deportivo Muñiz1–0W
9 Augvs Puerto Nuevo1–1D
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

El Porvenir – last 6

LWDWLD
5 Sep@ Central Cordoba0–2L
29 Augvs Claypole4–2W
23 Augvs Central Ballester0–0D
16 Aug@ JJ Urquiza1–0W
8 Augvs Yupanqui0–3L
4 Augvs Fénix0–0D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Juventud Unida and El Porvenir.

Juventud Unida vs El Porvenir head-to-head page →

Primera C table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Berazategui3213127+1651
2Sacachispas3214810+750
3Estrella Del Sur3212128+348
4Centro Español3212119+1347
5Mercedes3212119+747
6Victoriano Arenas3211147+747
7Lugano3211138+646
8Juventud Unida3212911+645
9Puerto Nuevo32101111-641
10Defensores de Cambaceres329914-936
11JJ Urquiza3271411-535
12Deportivo Paraguayo3271114-1832
13Leandro N. Alem328717-2831
14Argentino Rosario3241513-1227

More Primera C predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Juventud Unida vs El Porvenir?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Juventud Unida vs El Porvenir?

On our numbers Juventud Unida have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 25% and El Porvenir 32%.

How many goals will there be in Juventud Unida vs El Porvenir?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Juventud Unida vs El Porvenir?

Our predicted score is Juventud Unida 1–0 El Porvenir, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Juventud Unida vs El Porvenir?

Juventud Unida vs El Porvenir (Primera C) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.