Lugano 34%Draw 25%Leones de Rosario 41%Expected goals 0.93 – 1.05
67%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Picks by market
ResultLeones de Rosario to win ✗41% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.87
Lugano vs Leones de Rosario: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 12 September the Primera C brings Lugano against Leones de Rosario. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Lugano are 7th, upper half, on 46 points after 32 matches; Leones de Rosario are 4th (among the top four) with 51.
Current form
Lugano, last 5: WDWLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Puerto Nuevo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Leones de Rosario, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Yupanqui, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lugano 0.9 xG, Leones de Rosario 1.0 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lugano 34%, draw 25%, Leones de Rosario 41%.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lugano 0–1 Leones de Rosario. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lugano34%fair 2.91 · @2.88
Draw25%fair 3.99 · @2.75
Leones de Rosario41%fair 2.46 · @2.45
1.97Expected goals
0.93Lugano xG
1.05Leones de Rosario xG
47%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–115%
0–014%
1–113%
1–013%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: Lugano 0.9 – 1.0 Leones de Rosario expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Leones de Rosario to win✗
41%
2.46
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.53
Draw no bet
Leones de Rosario (draw no bet)
54%
1.84
–
Asian handicap
Lugano +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
1.57
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.12
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
1.03
First team to score
Leones de Rosario to score first✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
22%
4.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.87
–
Recent results
Lugano – last 6
WDWLDW
6 Sep
@ Puerto Nuevo
1–0
W
31 Aug
vs Berazategui
1–1
D
22 Aug
@ Leandro N. Alem
1–0
W
16 Aug
vs Lujan
1–2
L
9 Aug
vs Victoriano Arenas
0–0
D
31 Jul
@ Defensores de Cambaceres
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Leones de Rosario – last 6
WWWLWD
4 Sep
@ Yupanqui
1–0
W
31 Aug
vs Atletico Atlas
1–0
W
25 Aug
vs Deportivo Muñiz
2–1
W
22 Aug
@ Canuelas
0–1
L
17 Aug
vs Defensores de Cambaceres
2–0
W
4 Aug
@ Centro Español
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lugano and Leones de Rosario.
What is the prediction for Lugano vs Leones de Rosario?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Lugano vs Leones de Rosario?
On our numbers Lugano have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Leones de Rosario 41%.
How many goals will there be in Lugano vs Leones de Rosario?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lugano vs Leones de Rosario?
Our predicted score is Lugano 0–1 Leones de Rosario, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Lugano vs Leones de Rosario?
Lugano vs Leones de Rosario (Primera C) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Atletico Atlas0
Canuelas2
Central Ballester2
Deportivo Muñiz0
Yupanqui1
El Porvenir1