Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.10
El Porvenir vs Deportivo Español: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Monday 21 September: El Porvenir v Deportivo Español in the Primera C. In the table, El Porvenir are 8th, lower half, on 40 points after 32 matches; Deportivo Español are 3rd (among the top four) with 52. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
El Porvenir, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Juventud Unida, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Deportivo Español, last 5: DWWDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Mercedes, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give El Porvenir 0.9 xG, Deportivo Español 0.8 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 75%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – El Porvenir 39%, draw 26%, Deportivo Español 35%.
GG/NG: NG (55%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (75%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: El Porvenir 0–0 Deportivo Español. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
El Porvenir39%fair 2.58 · @2.60
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @2.70
Deportivo Español35%fair 2.85 · @2.88
1.66Expected goals
0.86El Porvenir xG
0.80Deportivo Español xG
45%Both score
25%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–019%
1–016%
0–115%
1–113%
2–07%
0–26%
From our goals model: El Porvenir 0.9 – 0.8 Deportivo Español expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
El Porvenir to win✗
39%
2.58
2.60
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.44
Draw no bet
El Porvenir (draw no bet)✗
53%
1.90
–
Asian handicap
Deportivo Español +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
1.73
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.30
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.08
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
1.02
First team to score
El Porvenir to score first✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
55%
1.83
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
26%
3.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.10
–
Recent results
El Porvenir – last 6
WLWDWL
12 Sep
@ Juventud Unida
1–0
W
5 Sep
@ Central Cordoba
0–2
L
29 Aug
vs Claypole
4–2
W
23 Aug
vs Central Ballester
0–0
D
16 Aug
@ JJ Urquiza
1–0
W
8 Aug
vs Yupanqui
0–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Deportivo Español – last 6
DWWDDD
10 Sep
@ Mercedes
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Fénix
1–0
W
31 Aug
@ Sportivo Barracas
1–0
W
24 Aug
vs Lujan
0–0
D
17 Aug
vs Sacachispas
0–0
D
7 Aug
@ General Lamadrid
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between El Porvenir and Deportivo Español.
What is the prediction for El Porvenir vs Deportivo Español?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win El Porvenir vs Deportivo Español?
On our numbers El Porvenir have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Deportivo Español 35%.
How many goals will there be in El Porvenir vs Deportivo Español?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 25% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for El Porvenir vs Deportivo Español?
Our predicted score is El Porvenir 0–0 Deportivo Español, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is El Porvenir vs Deportivo Español?
El Porvenir vs Deportivo Español (Primera C) kicks off on Monday 21 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Sacachispas0
Victoriano Arenas1