Sportivo Barracas v Canuelas Prediction & Expected Goals (21 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultCanuelas to win ✓42% · @2.60

Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.25

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · @1.12

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.56

Sportivo Barracas vs Canuelas: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:00 WAT, Monday 21 September: Sportivo Barracas v Canuelas in the Primera C. In the table, Sportivo Barracas are 7th, upper half, on 40 points after 32 matches; Canuelas are 2nd (among the top four) with 61. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Sportivo Barracas, last 5: LWLDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Defensores de Cambaceres, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Canuelas, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Victoriano Arenas, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Canuelas, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Sportivo Barracas.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sportivo Barracas 0.9 xG, Canuelas 1.1 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Sportivo Barracas 33%, draw 25%, Canuelas 42%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.25.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 50%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sportivo Barracas 0–1 Canuelas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sportivo Barracas33%fair 3.03 · @2.70

Draw25%fair 3.99 · @2.75

Canuelas42%fair 2.39 · @2.60

2.03Expected goals

0.93Sportivo Barracas xG

1.10Canuelas xG

50%Both score

33%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–114%

1–113%

0–013%

1–012%

0–28%

1–27%

From our goals model: Sportivo Barracas 0.9 – 1.1 Canuelas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Canuelas to win ✓	42%	2.39	2.60 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	75%	1.33	1.36
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	50%	1.98	2.25 ▲
Draw no bet	Canuelas (draw no bet) ✓	56%	1.79	–
Asian handicap	Sportivo Barracas +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	61%	1.64	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	59%	1.68	1.57
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	67%	1.50	1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	84%	1.19	1.12
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	93%	1.08	1.03
First team to score	Canuelas to score first ✓	47%	2.13	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	50%	2.02	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Canuelas / FT Canuelas ✓	22%	4.54	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	7%	13.56	–

Sportivo Barracas – last 6

LWLDLW

13 Sep	@ Defensores de Cambaceres	0–1	L
7 Sep	@ Deportivo Muñiz	2–0	W
31 Aug	vs Deportivo Español	0–1	L
26 Aug	@ Central Ballester	0–0	D
23 Aug	@ Central Cordoba	1–2	L
16 Aug	@ Deportivo Paraguayo	1–0	W

0.7Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

17%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

Canuelas – last 6

WWWWLL

12 Sep	vs Victoriano Arenas	2–0	W
6 Sep	vs Lujan	3–2	W
31 Aug	@ General Lamadrid	2–0	W
22 Aug	vs Leones de Rosario	1–0	W
15 Aug	vs Estrella Del Sur	1–2	L
9 Aug	@ Atletico Atlas	0–2	L

1.5Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Lujan	32	19	7	6	+24	64
2	Canuelas	32	17	10	5	+21	61
3	Deportivo Español	32	12	16	4	+10	52
4	Leones de Rosario	32	13	12	7	+6	51
5	Central Cordoba	32	13	10	9	+9	49
6	General Lamadrid	32	9	14	9	-4	41
7	Sportivo Barracas	32	11	7	14	0	40
8	El Porvenir	32	8	16	8	-4	40
9	Central Ballester	32	10	8	14	-5	38
10	Atletico Atlas	32	9	10	13	-5	37
11	Claypole	32	9	9	14	-13	36
12	Yupanqui	32	8	11	13	-3	35
13	Fénix	32	8	10	14	-8	34
14	Deportivo Muñiz	32	6	11	15	-15	29

Team

Pts

+24

+21

+10

-4

-4

-5

-5

-13

-3

-8

-15

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sportivo Barracas vs Canuelas?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Sportivo Barracas vs Canuelas?

On our numbers Sportivo Barracas have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Canuelas 42%.

How many goals will there be in Sportivo Barracas vs Canuelas?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sportivo Barracas vs Canuelas?

Our predicted score is Sportivo Barracas 0–1 Canuelas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Sportivo Barracas vs Canuelas?

Sportivo Barracas vs Canuelas (Primera C) kicks off on Monday 21 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Sportivo Barracas v Canuelas: numbers & prediction